5️⃣0️⃣0️⃣ Will Manifold users that respond to the poll asking if it will reach 500 votes by EOY 2024 predict correctly?
15
153
Ṁ282Ṁ310
2025
60%
chance
1D
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ALL
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the poll is 9.2% complete with >11 months to go, yet 2/3 of people think it will not make it to 500
Context:
/strutheo/do-you-think-this-poll-will-reach-5
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