5️⃣0️⃣0️⃣ Will Manifold users that respond to the poll asking if it will reach 500 votes by EOY 2024 predict correctly?
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5️⃣0️⃣0️⃣ Will Manifold users that respond to the poll asking if it will reach 500 votes by EOY 2025 predict correctly?
82% chance
5️⃣0️⃣0️⃣ Will the majority of respondents to this poll think that it will reach 500 responses by EOY 2025?
20% chance
5️⃣0️⃣0️⃣ Will the poll asking if it will reach 500 responses by EOY 2025 actually reach 500 responses by EOY 2025?
11% chance
📌5️⃣0️⃣0️⃣ Do you think this poll will reach 500 responses by EOY 2025? (11% DONE)
POLL
Which will be voted the most important prediction ever listed on Manifold in 2030?
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the poll is 9.2% complete with >11 months to go, yet 2/3 of people think it will not make it to 500
Context:
/strutheo/do-you-think-this-poll-will-reach-5
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Related questions
5️⃣0️⃣0️⃣ Will Manifold users that respond to the poll asking if it will reach 500 votes by EOY 2025 predict correctly?
82% chance
5️⃣0️⃣0️⃣ Will the majority of respondents to this poll think that it will reach 500 responses by EOY 2025?
20% chance
5️⃣0️⃣0️⃣ Will the poll asking if it will reach 500 responses by EOY 2025 actually reach 500 responses by EOY 2025?
11% chance
📌5️⃣0️⃣0️⃣ Do you think this poll will reach 500 responses by EOY 2025? (11% DONE)
POLL
Which will be voted the most important prediction ever listed on Manifold in 2030?