5️⃣0️⃣0️⃣ Will Manifold users that respond to the poll asking if it will reach 500 votes by EOY 2024 predict correctly?

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resolved Jan 2

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NO

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reposted

poll at 55% currently

39% done

31%

reposted

25%

22%

reposted

poll just hit 20%

poll is 14% complete now

reposted

the poll is 9.2% complete with >11 months to go, yet 2/3 of people think it will not make it to 500

Context:
/strutheo/do-you-think-this-poll-will-reach-5

You are too clever

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5️⃣0️⃣0️⃣ Will Manifold users that respond to the poll asking if it will reach 500 votes by EOY 2025 predict correctly?

5️⃣0️⃣0️⃣ Will the majority of respondents to this poll think that it will reach 500 responses by EOY 2025?

5️⃣0️⃣0️⃣ Will the poll asking if it will reach 500 responses by EOY 2025 actually reach 500 responses by EOY 2025?

📌5️⃣0️⃣0️⃣ Do you think this poll will reach 500 responses by EOY 2025? (10% DONE)

Will Manifold allow questions to be resolved by a poll of random users before 2025?

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One year from now, will the percentage that this question resolves YES (as shown by Manifold) be above 50%?

Related questions

5️⃣0️⃣0️⃣ Will Manifold users that respond to the poll asking if it will reach 500 votes by EOY 2025 predict correctly?

5️⃣0️⃣0️⃣ Will the majority of respondents to this poll think that it will reach 500 responses by EOY 2025?

5️⃣0️⃣0️⃣ Will the poll asking if it will reach 500 responses by EOY 2025 actually reach 500 responses by EOY 2025?

📌5️⃣0️⃣0️⃣ Do you think this poll will reach 500 responses by EOY 2025? (10% DONE)

Will Manifold allow questions to be resolved by a poll of random users before 2025?

Which will be voted the most important prediction ever listed on Manifold in 2030?

One year from now, will the percentage that this question resolves YES (as shown by Manifold) be above 50%?

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