ChatBot Arena | Battle of the LLMs

Who will have the best LLM at the end of 2024 (as decided by ChatBot Arena)?

70%

OpenAI

15%

Google

6%

Anthropic

3%

Mistral

See 7 more answers

Will anyone other than OpenAI rank #1 on Chatbot Arena in 2024? (for >1 week)YES

#Technical AI Timelines

Will any open-source model rank higher than GPT-4 on ChatBot Arena in 2024? (according to ELO Rating) YES

Who will have the best LLM at the end of 2024 (as decided by ChatBot Arena Ranks)?

70%

OpenAI

11%

Anthropic

14%

Google

1.2%

Mistral

See 1 more answer

Which companies will outrank or tie with OpenAI on ChatBot Arena in 2024? (>= week)

34%

Google

34%

Other

14%

Apple

3%

Mistral

See 1 more answer

Who will have the best LLM at the end of 2025 (as decided by ChatBot Arena)?

62%

OpenAI

6%

Anthropic

0.7%

Mistral

26%

Google

See 1 more answer

Which companies will achieve a higher ELO rating than OpenAI on ChatBot Arena in 2024? ( >= week)

32%

Google

5%

Mistral

12%

Other

Resolved

YES

Anthropic

Will any open-source model rank in the top 3 on Chatbot Arena at the end of 2024?9% chance

#Technical AI Timelines

Will any open-source model rank in the top 3 on Chatbot Arena at any point in 2024? (resolves based on ELO rating)24% chance

#Technical AI Timelines

Will Anthropic achieve an ELO rating higher than OpenAI’s best model on ChatBot Arena in 2024? (for >= 1 week)YES

Which companies will outrank OpenAI on ChatBot Arena in 2024? (>= week)

36%

Anthropic

31%

Google

3%

Mistral

8%

Other

Will any open-source model rank in the top 3 on Chatbot Arena at the end of 2024?9% chance

#Technical AI Timelines

Which companies will rank in top 10 on Chatbot Arena at the end of 2024?

98%

OpenAI

97%

Anthropic

92%

Google

63%

Mistral

#Technical AI Timelines

See more questions: