Will a flight from the united states crash before 2024?
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143
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resolved Nov 8
Resolved
YES

Any flight originating from the united states that crashes before 2024 will result in yes

A crash after the wheels touch down is a yes

Any size airplane with a motor that contains people crashing is a yes

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predicted YES

https://www.asias.faa.gov/apex/f?p=100:93:::NO

Resolving this to yes...a plane crashed yesterday

Seems like this wasn’t a well thought out market. Should stipulate a jet at least.

predicted YES

@KevinLobLaw you're right. Next time I'll be more specific.

predicted YES

Commercial service only, or does GA count? Presumably only after market creation?

Looking at the FAA regulation that the flight is operated under will likely do a good job matching up to general expectations; Parts 91, 121, and 135 are the relevant categories.

https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Federal_Aviation_Regulations#Regulations_of_interest

Would a cessna crash count? A gear-up landing of a southwest flight? A runway overrun? Or is “crash“ defined by the number of fatalities?

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