Will there be a major aviation accident this year with greater loss of life than 2023?
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4
Ṁ144
Dec 31
26%
chance

For reference, the most lethal aviation accident of 2023 happened January 15 and left 72 dead.

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The market has yet to resolve. However, there was an incident, but that wasn't really an accident, or there is just not enough concise information - What do you think?



2024 Korochansky Ilyushin Il-76 crash

Occupants: 74 (5 identified)
Fatalities: 74 (5 identified)
Survivors: 0