Will there be a fatal airliner crash in the US before the end of 2024?
70
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2025
17%
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Commercial airplanes nearly crashed 46 times in June 2023, according to NY Times reporting on FAA safety documents.

FAA hosts a public database of such incidents. Wikipedia lists fatal commercial aircraft accidents in the US.

an "airliner crash"

  • excludes non-commercial aviation, e.g. military, private jets, charter flights

  • only includes airliners; e.g. excludes helicopters, small planes

  • must involve a "crash," so excludes events like the 2022 Montgomery incident

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Will fatal crashes that are a result of illegal actions count? eg. 9/11, 2018 Horizon Air crash

@cowgoesmoo Yes. I don't see why not.

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Airliners, especially Boeing, have had some bad news lately. Luckily so far, nothing fatal. A Boeing 737 went off the runway yesterday. The day before that, a tire fell off a United Airlines flight during takeoff. A few days before that another United Airlines engine shot flames out the back midair. This all happening on the back of Boeing's January incident, when a Boeing plane door blew open.

Just realized there was a fourth incident this last week. Another United flight had a hydraulic failure.

@cash Some slightly tangential news on the boeing front https://www.bbc.co.uk/news/business-68534703 "Boeing whistleblower found dead in US"

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3 qualifying incidents since 2010:

  1. Pen Air 3296

  2. Southwest 1380

  3. Asiana Airlines 214

@SamSwoap Southwest 1380 should not count as a "crash"

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