Conditional on Trump winning the 2024 election, are we living in a simulation?
10
90
Ṁ166Ṁ230
2025
31%
chance
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A la simulation hypothesis. Conditional on Trump winning the 2024 election, are we living in a simulation?
I will not bet in this market. Resolves N/A on expiration date (Dec 31, 2024) except in the case of extraordinary evidence.
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For the same market that's not conditional on Trump winning: https://manifold.markets/Penultimate/are-we-living-in-a-simulation?r=Q0RCaWRkdWxwaA
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