Conditional on being nominated by the Republican party, will Donald Trump win the 2024 presidential election?
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Ṁ1kṀ21kresolved Nov 8
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@ManifoldMarketsUser It's not *necessarily* inconsistent, since there's an outcome where trump loses the nomination, declares an independent run, and the Republican candidate stands down in order to prevent splitting the vote and handing the election to the Democrats. Not very likely imo, though.