Superconductor

Scientists announce room temp superconductor

Main Paper
Companion Paper
First claims of replication from China
What would RTP superconductors mean?
Hacker News thread discussion
Table of all current replication attempts
Chinese team finds theoretical basis for LK-99 superconductivity

Materials used are relatively cheap and not complicated, so it should be easy for others to replicate.

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Will the LK-99 room temp, ambient pressure superconductivity pre-print replicate before 2025?3% chance

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When will we know whether the room temp superconductor is real? (with >95% confidence)

100%99.6%

August 16-31

0.0%

July

0.1%

August 1-15

0.2%

September

See 1 more answer

Will there be a high-credibility spurious replication of LK-99 room temp superconductors before 2024?NO

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Will the "First Room-Temperature Ambient-Pressure Superconductor" paper be retracted? (2023)NO

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Will we have "The First Room-Temperature Ambient-Pressure Superconductor" before 2024?NO

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Will a room-temperature, atmospheric pressure superconductor be discovered before 2030?10% chance

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Will the "First Room-Temperature Ambient-Pressure Superconductor" paper be retracted (by 2025)?4% chance

Which financial instruments should I buy to profit the most from room temp superconductors being real?Ṁ0 bounty

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