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Manifest
Manifold
Manifold's inaugural forecasting festival. Happening now.
Linch Zhang
If I attend Manifest, would I have considered it a better use of my time than my counterfactual weekend?
YES
#
Decision markets
#
Manifest
#
Personal
26
Ṁ490
Dilon
Will Manifest Be Hosted again in 2024?
96%
chance
Bet Yes
Bet No
#
ManiFest
#
Manifest 2024
51
Ṁ1k
Linch Zhang
How many people at Manifest will contract COVID at or roughly around Manifest?
100%
87%
1-3
0.1%
0
8%
4-10
3%
10-20
See 3 more answers
#
Health
#
COVID
#
Public Health
46
Ṁ2.6k
Sinclair Chen
What percentage of people checked the fun checkbox in the middle of the Manifest feedback form?
80%
#
Manifest
12
Ṁ250
Conflux
Will Manifest have a ball pit?
YES
#
Spicyfest
80
Ṁ1.5k
Bolton Bailey
If there is another Manifest in 2024, will it be as big as the first one?
91%
chance
Bet Yes
Bet No
#
Manifest
15
Ṁ1k
Isaac King
Will the second Manifest be better than the first?
55%
chance
Bet Yes
Bet No
#
Manifest
40
Ṁ1.2k
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