MANIFOLD
US Politics
AI
News
Browse
About
App
Sign in
Dark
Light
(auto)
Columbia Protests
OpenAI - GPT2
Legal Weed
NBA Playoffs
Israel-Arab Conflict
House Speaker
Trump Trial
Trump VP
Biden-Trump Polls
Presidential Debates
Twitter
Manifold Sweepstakes
TikTok Ban
Taylor Swift
Jason Stonks
Key Races
FSK Bridge
One Piece
Music AI Race
Chess
Manifest
TV Props
WWDC 2024
ACX 2024
Hard Forkasts
GPT 4.5
Will OpenAI make a big product-related announcement in December 2023?
NO
#
OpenAI
#
News
#
Technology
71
αΉ1.1K
Will OpenAI announce a GPT-4 successor shortly after Google releases Gemini?
NO
#
AI
#
OpenAI
#
Technology
32
αΉ570
Will openAI release a new model by the end of 2023
NO
#
AI
#
OpenAI
#
New Year's Resolutions 2024
27
αΉ510
Will there be a OpenAI LLM known as GPT-4.5 in 2023?
NO
#
AI
#
New Year's Market Resolutions 2022
#
New Year's Resolutions 2024
286
αΉ2.8K
Will GPT 4.5 come out in December?
NO
#
GPT-4 speculation
#
GPT-4
#
GPT-5 Speculation
127
αΉ1.3K
Will OpenAI release a new ChatGPT iteration by the end of the year?
NO
#
Technical AI Timelines
#
ChatGPT
#
OpenAI
35
αΉ610
When will OpenAI release a more capable LLM?
0.2%
2023
Yes
No
15%
First half of 2024
Yes
No
58%
Second half of 2024
Yes
No
27%
2025+
Yes
No
#
OpenAI
#
Technical AI Timelines
243
αΉ4.4K
Has GPT-4.5 already started rolling out?
NO
#
OpenAI
#
Language Models
#
GPT-4 speculation
84
αΉ1.1K
Will OpenAI give us a Christmas present i.e. new model?
NO
#
OpenAI
#
GPT-4 speculation
48
αΉ890
Will OpenAI drop something new before Christmas which explicitly overtakes Gemini Ultra/puts them to shame in some way?
NO
#
AI
#
AI Regulation
30
αΉ530
Is the "leak" of GPT-4.5 real?
3%
chance
Bet Yes
Bet No
#
OpenAI
#
AI
#
LLMs
48
αΉ1K
Will there be a OpenAI LLM known as GPT-4.5? by 2033
40%
chance
Bet Yes
Bet No
#
Technology
#
AI
83
αΉ1.2K
See more questions:
Politics
News
Browse
About
Sign in