🏅 Top traders

#	Name	Total profit
1		Ṁ1,022
2		Ṁ780
3		Ṁ735
4		Ṁ602
5		Ṁ480

14 Comments

100 Holders

747 Trades

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predicted NO

As they say that no means no, nah means nah.

predicted NO

Why is this market at 3% when the market where the author guaranteed a NO resolution on the 28th is still at 4%?

In a year, will I think Manifold has been a good use of my time? | Manifold

predicted YES

roon(OpenAI employee) says there's no 4.5 and laughs at us YES betters

bought Ṁ500 of NO

How are you defining "come out" here? Does a closed beta count?

@Joshua it'd have to be a pretty large closed beta, imo.

bought Ṁ5 of YES

https://twitter.com/AiBreakfast/status/1736392167906574634

Was GPT-4.5 Turbo released in stealth?
Numerous ChatGPT Plus users are getting this response.

predicted YES

@AlexandreGirard /Mira/has-gpt45-already-started-rolling-o

predicted NO

@Anamax Are they checking the developer tools?

"gpt-4"

predicted YES

bought Ṁ60 of NO

Sam Altman says 4.5 “leak” wasn’t legit

https://x.com/sama/status/1735422206296088950?s=46

bought Ṁ100 NO from 17% to 16%

Considering recent events, you should probably clarify what you mean by "come out".

bought Ṁ10 of YES

"I’m more excited on some open source models coming out soon ;) but keep an eye out on a potential end of December gpt 4.5 drop and new multimodal from Anthropic."

https://twitter.com/apples_jimmy/status/1732553640215495109