Will OpenAI make a big product-related announcement in December 2023?
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resolved Jan 1
Resolved
NO

The market resolves as “Yes” if OpenAI makes an announcement in December similar to the ones listed below.

  • release of a GPT-4.5

  • progress update on GPT-5

  • release of a new consumer device

  • release of a serious open-source model

  • plans to work on something new such as AI chips

If the announcement just confirms things they already shared it won’t count e.g. rollout of the GPT-Store. The announcement has to be product-related.

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predicted NO

everyone be inhaling copium, we'll see :)

bought Ṁ14 of NO

@OleksandrMolodchyk On Manifold, you never know if it's copium or insider info.

funny guy

@firstuserhere i love him - he is breaking all the bullshit corporate communication rules

Could be relevant :)

bought Ṁ25 of YES

GPT 4.5

@Mira I updated the description and added it to the list.

predicted YES

@Mira "nah" 😁

@VAPOR 😂

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