When will DeepSeek release R2?
95
1.1kṀ24k
2026
10%
Before July 2025
41%
Before August 2025
54%
Before September 2025
69%
Before October 2025
79%
Before November 2025
82%
Before December 2025

Minor changes to the name, such as using "R3" instead of "R2", are acceptable when determining the release.

To count as released, the model must be accessible to some people outside DeepSeek. if it's banned in the US but releases in China this market would still resolve YES. If it is available through some API only this counts as a release.

See also:

/Bayesian/when-will-openai-announce-o4

/Bayesian/when-will-openai-release-gpt45-ULpyUuqd2L

/Bayesian/when-will-openai-release-an-open-so

/Bayesian/when-will-deepseek-release-r2 (this market)

/Bayesian/when-will-deepseek-release-v4

/Bayesian/when-will-xai-release-grok-4

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