China & Taiwan

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Will China attempt to invade Taiwan by the end of 2027?17% chance

#Chinese Politics

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Will China's economy enter a recession by 2025?28% chance

#Who does Xi think he is?

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Will China launch a full-scale invasion of Taiwan before 2030?25% chance

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If China invades Taiwan, will they succeed?49% chance

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WW3: Begins With Taiwan30% chance

#Ukraine-Russia war

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Will Xi Jinping continue to lead China through end of 2028?61% chance

#Who does Xi think he is?

#Chinese Politics

China’s property crash: ‘a slow-motion financial crisis’Financial Times

In the first part of a series, the impact of falling house prices is examined as it spreads to local government finances and the broader economy

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If China invades Taiwan, will the United States intervene directly?75% chance

#China Taiwan potential conflict

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Will Xi Jinping choose a successor in 2027?32% chance

#Who does Xi think he is?

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Will China invade Taiwan directly or will they apply a salami tactic and only take over small islands near the Mainland?61% chance

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Will there be a conflict over the South China Sea between two claimant states by the end of 2030?66% chance