Will China launch a full-scale invasion of Taiwan before 2030?
851
15kṀ450k2030
35%
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https://www.metaculus.com/questions/11480/chinese-invasion-of-taiwan/
Update 2025-05-07 (PST) (AI summary of creator comment): The creator has clarified that this market's resolution will be determined by the linked Metaculus market.
Resolution Source: This market will resolve as the Metaculus question Chinese Invasion of Taiwan resolves.
Guidance on Specific Scenarios: For inquiries regarding specific scenarios, such as whether a 'massive, successful blockade' would count, the resolution criteria and any clarifications on the linked Metaculus market should be consulted, as this market will follow its determination.
This question is managed and resolved by Manifold.
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