Will Xi Jinping continue to lead China through end of 2028?
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2029
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Xi Jinping secured a historic 3rd term as China's general secretary. This 3rd term is set to last 5 years until 2027, when the 21st party congress takes place. Will Xi Jinping secure a 4th term and continue to lead China through the end of 2028?

Resolution

Resolves YES if Xi Jinping holds any of the following offices (or their equivalents, in case they are changed) through the end of 2028:

  • General Secretary of the Communist Party of China

  • Chairman of the Central Military Commission

  • President of the People's Republic of China

Resolves NO if at any point before the end of 2028, Xi holds none of these offices.

Resolution will be according to criteria at https://www.metaculus.com/questions/9408/xi-no-longer-authority-of-china/.

(Note that Xi assumed the office of General Secretary in November 2012 and assumed the office of President in March 2013 - this is why I wrote this question to ask about end of 2028 instead of 2027.)

Close date updated to 2029-01-01 11:59 pm

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bought Ṁ50 of YES

Lead China in what capacity? As chairman of the party presumably since that is the more powerful title compared to president or commander in chief of the military?

predicts NO

@BTE It's in the description

Resolves YES if Xi Jinping holds any of the following offices (or their equivalents, in case they are changed) through the end of 2028:

  • General Secretary of the Communist Party of China

  • Chairman of the Central Military Commission

  • President of the People's Republic of China

predicts YES

@jack Oh haha, I commented from the Home Screen and just assumed it was giving me the full question because I had just read the full resolution criteria for two of your other questions just above. Haha. My bad. I should have known better.

predicts NO

@BTE Yeah no worries, it's rather weird that sometimes it decides to show the description and sometimes not.

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