If China invades Taiwan, will they succeed?
267
1.9kṀ86k
2100
58%
chance

Ukraine has shown how challenging it can be for a larger power to take over a smaller one that really doesn't want to be taken over and has the support of the West. Will the same thing happen to Taiwan?

Resolves YES if Taiwan becomes unambiguously a part of China due to forceful takeover by China. Resolves NO if Chinia attempts to invade Taiwan and is rebuffed. Resolves N/A if China or Taiwan stop existing in their current forms. (Other than Taiwan being incorperated into China by force. If Taiwan votes to join China voluntarily, resolves N/A.)

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