Will China invade Taiwan directly or will they apply a salami tactic and only take over small islands near the Mainland?
4
63
110
2029
61%
chance

There are multiple small islands under Taipei's control near the Chinese mainland. Most of them are uninhabitated and they are scattered over hundreds of kilometers. The question is whether they are Beijing's target or the Taiwanese main island directly.

In case you don't know what a salami tactic is watch this: https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=o861Ka9TtT4

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No you are absolutely wrong. Most of the islands are inhabited with a total of more than 60,000 people living on these islands. There are regular flights between them and Songshan, Ching Chuan Kang and Siaogang Airports many times everyday. Taiwan's name in WHO is also "Separate Customs Territory of Taiwan, Penghu, Kinmen and Matsu" with Kinmen and Matsu at the end.

Taipei pays great attention to these islands and any attacks on these islands will not be ignored by both the government and the people.

bought Ṁ5 of NO

directly=yes
salami tactic=no ?

bought Ṁ15 of YES

@HelmutWimmer What makes you think so?

predicts YES

@DeppRennt Oh, now I get it. The question is bad.

Directly = yes

salami = no

predicts NO

@DeppRennt maybe you want to edit the description for clarification

@DeppRennt what if neither happens?

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