CEO Shooter

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Basic

Will Luigi Mangione be convicted of murder, before 2026?52% chance

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What were the motives of the UnitedHealthcare CEO assassin?

84%

A set of radical beliefs that do not fit on a strict left/right paradigm

79%

An attempt to terrorize people into bringing down the system of private insurance in the United States

53%

Mental illness

45%

Chronic Back Pain

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Luigi Mangione manifesto prop bets (add answers)

Resolved

YES

Whole Manifesto released in December

Resolved

YES

UnitedHealthcare mentioned by name (incl abbreviations)

Resolved

YES

Mentions “The Feds”

Resolved

YES

Mentions mafia or derivative (e.g. mob, mafioso)

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Is Luigi Mangione the person who shot UnitedHealthcare CEO Brian Thompson?80% chance

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Basic

Will Luigi Magione’s defense claim mental health or substance impairment in court?51% chance

Basic

Will there be evidence showing the UnitedHealthcare shooter had a Manifold account by end of March 2025?YES

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Will the United Healthcare CEO shooter be caught by June 2025?YES

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Are these two supposed pictures of the United Healthcare CEO assassin actually different people?NO

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Luigi Mangione UnitedHealthcare Shooter likes the following stereotypical things:

72%

Richard Stallman

69%

Neon Genesis Evangelion

50%

Attack on titan

47%

Breaking Points

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What will happen to the @LuigiMangione Manifold account before March? [Add Answers!]

31%

Becomes subject of an official request for user information by a government agency

29%

Gets Managrammed at least 10,000 mana in total (for example, 2,000 each from 5 people would work)

7%

Places a Mana bet (after this market is created)

7%

Renamed or Profile pic changes

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