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@zax, what would cause you to resolve this? It seems like it’s clear at this point

Mostly I figured there was no harm in waiting, and then I got busy with other stuff and forgot.

@zax that’s relatable. Thanks!

It’s really difficult to say it’s not him

Claims on the internet of high profile pictures being body doubles or different people aren’t new.

And a lot of these claims always focus a bunch of minor changes in grainy photos.

Go take a bunch of pictures of yourself from different angles on different days. You’ll see slight variations in small details depending on the temperature, time of day, your mood, ect. Faces are squishy.

The jackets honestly could be the same with different lighting. As for the bag, it’s highly likely he had two, one he abandoned the monopoly money, and the other with his actual gear.

None of the photos look like him. Is there three killers on the loose?!

https://x.com/NewsWire_US/status/1866258828154610003

he really did have multiple jackets lol

Just the backpack straps are pretty telling. This tone change should also be pretty robust to lighting changes.

@jothan He easily could have changed his backpack and jacket to avoid detection. Build and facial features are similar. I would guess it's the same person

How will you resolve this

By clicking the button on the market and choosing one of the options

and you will flip a coin to pick which option

@zax shame. if someone makes a version of this market with actual resolution criteria, I'll bet in it.

I will use available police/media sources and my best judgment, potentially leaving the market open for a while after he's caught. How else would I do it?

@zax I'm obviously biased, but I'd say the burden of proof on those on think they are differen't people. So say there is no police / media source which explicitly state these are different people, this should resolve to No.

ask him @LuigiMangione

@ismellpillows LMAO HE HAS A MANIFOLD ACCOUNT???

@JaimeSantaCruz you could honestly add one of these photos to the question and ask whether these three pictures are the same person. The angles, lighting, quality and clothing worn all make distinct differences.

Though if the police believe they are the same person, then I do. People are overthinking this.

@vitamind Although I do have to ask how many jackets this guy owns. Because I may not know one face from another worth a damn but that is yet a third distinct jacket.

@nonnihil how many do you own? Serious question…

Dump the waterproof one used in the shooting like he done with the beige bag. The fabric one has been identified so dump that too? Doesn’t seem far fetched.

Regardless, I’m sure the detectives would have spoken to witnesses to verify that all “persons” in the three photos (two here and the new one from the taxi) are the same person by cross referencing witness statements with voice / accent, height, eye colour, mannerisims etc. etc. Again - people are overthinking this.

Is the backpack white and gold or blue and black?

order up fellas

Predicting NO because chance that police makes such an error exists, but is low. There is a theory on Twitter that one is the suspect and another is a witness.

Literally the same person, y'all blind?

@TheAllMemeingEye Clearly the way the question is phrased confused the AI generator, I wonder how many traders also bought the wrong option.

What's confusing about the title?

@zax I don't think the question is unclear, but when I saw it, together with the AI generated header and the pictures my dumb brain automatically changed it to "are they the same person" which is the opposite question. My brain is dumb and does that sometimes.

@zax I actually bet with the same confusion as @Odoacre—there’s a strong implicit YES = same, NO = different association. Could you add a brief line to the description to explicitly repeat that? e.g., “YES = different people, NO = same person”

(“YES, they are NOt the same” is probably the underlying brain wires getting crossed.)