What will happen to the @LuigiMangione Manifold account before March? [Add Answers!]
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Plus
28
Ṁ5681
Mar 1
31%
Becomes subject of an official request for user information by a government agency
29%
Gets Managrammed at least 10,000 mana in total (for example, 2,000 each from 5 people would work)
7%
Places a Mana bet (after this market is created)
7%
Renamed or Profile pic changes
7%
Banned
5%
Follows someone other than Manifold AI or Manifold Politics
4%
Places a Sweepcash bet (after this market is created)
3%
Becomes a Moderator

Each option resolves YES when publicly available information (such as, ibnlt, the user page or statements from Manifold staff) shows that it happened.

All other options resolve NO at market close, or earlier if they become impossible.

#Manifold
#Manifold Users
#UnitedHealthcare CEO Assassination
#Prop Bets
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@Robincvgr this seems very easy to manipulate

@Christophervppz try it

@Christophervppz then go ahead and manipulate it

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