What will happen to the @LuigiMangione Manifold account before March? [Add Answers!]
46
1.3kṀ24k
resolved Mar 1
Resolved
YES
Gets Managrammed at least 10,000 mana in total (for example, 2,000 each from 5 people would work)
Resolved
NO
Banned
Resolved
NO
Becomes a Moderator
Resolved
NO
Places a Mana bet (after this market is created)
Resolved
NO
Places a Sweepcash bet (after this market is created)
Resolved
NO
Renamed or Profile pic changes
Resolved
NO
Follows someone other than Manifold AI or Manifold Politics
Resolved
NO
Becomes subject of an official request for user information by a government agency

Each option resolves YES when publicly available information (such as, ibnlt, the user page or statements from Manifold staff) shows that it happened.

All other options resolve NO at market close, or earlier if they become impossible.

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@ian will you be able to tell us if this has happened?

@Robincvgr probably? Not sure. It hasn’t happened yet

@ian Manifold should probably have a warrant canary up in general anyway.

@ian still hasn't happened I assume?

@Robincvgr nope

opened aṀ3,500 YES at 64% order
reposted

@Robincvgr gonna managram Luigi, huh?

@snazzlePop account has received just a little over 3000 so far. People are going to have to step up!

@SeekingEternity

@Robincvgr has almost 10,000 mana riding on this option and cares more about profit-going-up than mana-in-wallet. I'm pretty confident Robin will send whatever is needed to get over 10k managrammed.

@Robincvgr this seems very easy to manipulate

@Christophervppz try it

@Christophervppz then go ahead and manipulate it

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