Car Industry's Future

Bankruptcies, new technology, car releases, etc...

Will General Motors go bankrupt before 2030?33% chance

Will Ford go bankrupt before 2030?10% chance

#Ford Motor Company

Will Stellantis (Chrysler, Peugeot, Citroën, ...) go bankrupt before 2030?16% chance

#Electric Vehicles

Who will be the top-selling car manufacturer in 2030? (number of cars)

26%

Tesla

23%

Toyota

17%

Volkswagen

20%

BYD

See 1 more answer

Will Tesla become the top-selling car manufacturer in 2027?10% chance

Will Tesla become the top-selling car manufacturer in 2030?14% chance

Will Toyota still be a top 3 car manufacturer by revenue in 2030?54% chance

Will Tesla legally deploy Level 4 autonomy somewhere in the world by the end of 2024?18% chance

Will Canoo (EV company) go bankrupt before 2027?70% chance

Will Tesla unveil their Robotaxi car design by the end of 2025?94% chance

Will the Tesla "Model 2" start deliveries before then end of 2025?18% chance

Will Lucid Motors go bankrupt before the end of 2024?10% chance

Will Xpeng (chinese EV maker) go bankrupt before 2030?37% chance

#Electric Vehicles

Will NIO (chinese EV company) go bankrupt before 2030?44% chance

#Electric Vehicles

Will Tesla release Dojo training-as-a-service before 2027?59% chance

Will Tesla officially reveal the Tesla "Model 2" in 2024?19% chance

Will Rivian go bankrupt before 2030?17% chance

Will Fisker (EV company) go bankrupt before 2030?95% chance

Will Tesla be the top-selling car manufacturer in 2028?17% chance

Will Tesla be the top-selling car manufacturer in 2029?14% chance