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Car Industry's Future

Bankruptcies, new technology, car releases, etc...

Ṁ1k
Will General Motors go bankrupt before 2030?
19% chance
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Will Ford go bankrupt before 2030?
10% chance
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Will Stellantis (Chrysler, Peugeot, Citroën, ...) go bankrupt before 2030?
19% chance
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Who will be the top-selling car manufacturer in 2030? (number of cars)
18%
Tesla
20%
Toyota
9%
Volkswagen
43%
BYD
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Ṁ1.9k
Will Tesla become the top-selling car manufacturer in 2027?
6% chance
Ṁ1.9k
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Will Tesla become the top-selling car manufacturer in 2030?
13% chance
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Will Toyota still be a top 3 car manufacturer by revenue in 2030?
50% chance
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Will Tesla legally deploy Level 4 autonomy somewhere in the world by the end of 2024?
NO
Ṁ1k
Ṁ110
Will Canoo (EV company) go bankrupt before 2027?
YES
Ṁ110
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Will Tesla unveil their Robotaxi car design by the end of 2025?
YES
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Will the Tesla "Model 2" start deliveries before then end of 2025?
NO
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Will Lucid Motors go bankrupt before the end of 2024?
NO
Ṁ1k
Ṁ70
Will Xpeng (chinese EV maker) go bankrupt before 2030?
37% chance
Ṁ70
Ṁ110
Will NIO (chinese EV company) go bankrupt before 2030?
44% chance
Ṁ110
Ṁ150
Will Tesla release Dojo training-as-a-service before 2027?
10% chance
Ṁ150
Ṁ1k
Will Tesla officially reveal the Tesla "Model 2" in 2024?
NO
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Will Rivian go bankrupt before 2030?
15% chance
Ṁ1k
Ṁ170
Will Fisker (EV company) go bankrupt before 2030?
YES
Ṁ170
Ṁ1k
Will Tesla be the top-selling car manufacturer in 2028?
19% chance
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Will Tesla be the top-selling car manufacturer in 2029?
12% chance
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