Car Industry's Future

Bankruptcies, new technology, car releases, etc...

1k
Will General Motors go bankrupt before 2030?29% chance
1k
Will Ford go bankrupt before 2030?10% chance
1k
Will Stellantis (Chrysler, Peugeot, Citroën, ...) go bankrupt before 2030?19% chance
1k
Who will be the top-selling car manufacturer in 2030? (number of cars)
18%
Tesla
21%
Toyota
10%
Volkswagen
42%
BYD
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1.9k
Will Tesla become the top-selling car manufacturer in 2027?9% chance
1k
Will Tesla become the top-selling car manufacturer in 2030?13% chance
1k
Will Toyota still be a top 3 car manufacturer by revenue in 2030?47% chance
1k
Will Tesla legally deploy Level 4 autonomy somewhere in the world by the end of 2024?NO
110
Will Canoo (EV company) go bankrupt before 2027?YES
1k
Will Tesla unveil their Robotaxi car design by the end of 2025?YES
1k
Will the Tesla "Model 2" start deliveries before then end of 2025?3% chance
1k
Will Lucid Motors go bankrupt before the end of 2024?NO
70
Will Xpeng (chinese EV maker) go bankrupt before 2030?37% chance
110
Will NIO (chinese EV company) go bankrupt before 2030?44% chance
150
Will Tesla release Dojo training-as-a-service before 2027?59% chance
1k
Will Tesla officially reveal the Tesla "Model 2" in 2024?NO
1k
Will Rivian go bankrupt before 2030?17% chance
170
Will Fisker (EV company) go bankrupt before 2030?YES
1k
Will Tesla be the top-selling car manufacturer in 2028?19% chance
1k
Will Tesla be the top-selling car manufacturer in 2029?14% chance
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