Will the Tesla "Model 2" start deliveries before then end of 2025?
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2025
18%
chance

The next generation of Tesla is supposed to be the most affordable to date, around 25.000$ and manufactured in Mexico.

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bought Ṁ130 NO

I expect there is some grain of truth to this that makes it unlikely they ship model 2 in 2025 - https://www.reuters.com/business/autos-transportation/tesla-scraps-low-cost-car-plans-amid-fierce-chinese-ev-competition-2024-04-05/

bought Ṁ30 YES

counterargument: gabe holds YES shares (jk but ty for sharing the article)

How will this event resolve if Tesla releases a new model of car by EoY 2025 but does not name it "Model 2"? For instance, I've seen the name "Model Q" thrown around. Or they could brand it as a new series of Model 3, kind of like there is a Model S, and a Model S Plaid.

predicts YES

@pietrokc the name is irrelevant, that is why it is in quotes. What matters is the price point and manufacturing improvements, etc...

How will this event resolve if Tesla delivers, say, 1-5 Model 2s to celebrities, and then everybody else has to wait several weeks or months?

predicts YES

@pietrokc to YES

predicts YES

they’re installing the manufacturing requirement right now. They will 100% begin deliveries before the end of 2025. They have been quiet about the progress so people don’t delay purchase of current vehicles

bought Ṁ50 of YES

@Mikelon797 Description says expected to be manufactured in Mexico. That’s true, but it will first be manufactured in Austin. Just making sure Austin made cars still resolve yes?

predicts YES

@GabeGarboden yes yes, the mexico thing was at the time. The main thing is that the car is released.

Thanks for the question :)

bought Ṁ25 of NO

the one thing i’m sure about is tesla not delivering on time

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