Oscars🏆

The 2024 Oscars will be held this Sunday, March 10th at 4 p.m. PT

We've got a livestream page set up at manifold.markets/tv and a watch party event on the Manifold Discord. There are also tournaments for who will be the best traders and best underdog trader! Also check out the Ballot Dashboard for markets with all the major categories.

Resolved
YES
Music cuts off speech
Resolved
NO
Jimmy Kimmel goes out into the audience
Resolved
YES
Standing ovation
Resolved
YES
Red dress on stage
Resolved
NO
Any live non-human animal on stage
Resolved
NO
Someone is explicitly stated to have wanted to come to the ceremony, but being unable to
Resolved
N/A
At least 4 Academy Honorary Awards awarded
Resolved
NO
"LGBT" is mentioned in speech by winner
Variety
Oscar Nominations 2024: ‘Oppenheimer’ Dominates With 13 Nods, ‘Poor Things’ Follows With 11
See the full Oscars 2024 nominees, where 'Oppenheimer' dominates with 13 nods.
100%100.0%
Cillian Murphy (Oppenheimer) Emma Stone (Poor Things) Robert Downey Jr. (Oppenheimer) Da'Vine Joy Randolph (The Holdovers)
0.0%
Cillian Murphy (Oppenheimer) Lily Gladstone (Killers of the Flower Moon) Robert Downey Jr. (Oppenheimer) Da'Vine Joy Randolph (The Holdovers)
0.0%
Paul Giamatti (The Holdovers) Lily Gladstone (Killers of the Flower Moon) Robert Downey Jr. (Oppenheimer) Da'Vine Joy Randolph (The Holdovers)
0.0%
Paul Giamatti (The Holdovers) Emma Stone (Poor Things) Robert Downey Jr. (Oppenheimer) Da'Vine Joy Randolph (The Holdovers)
Resolved
YES
Oppenheimer
Resolved
YES
Barbie
Resolved
YES
The Zone Of Interest
Resolved
YES
American Fiction
Resolved
YES
Richard Lewis
Resolved
YES
Carl Weathers
Resolved
YES
Lee Sun-kyun
Resolved
YES
Ryan O'Neal
100%99.8%
Billie Eilish – “What Was I Made For?” (Barbie)
0.0%
Jon Batiste - "It Never Went Away" (American Symphony)
0.0%
Jarvis Cocker – “Dear Alien (Who Art In Heaven)” (Asteroid City)
0.0%
Dua Lipa – “Dance The Night” (Barbie)
100%99.9%
Christopher Nolan - "Oppenheimer"
0.0%
Greta Gerwig - "Barbie"
0.0%
Jonathan Glazer - “The Zone of Interest”
0.0%
Alexander Payne - “The Holdovers”
Variety
Oscar Shortlists Announced for 10 Categories: ‘Barbie’ Leads the Way
The 2024 Oscars shortlist in 10 categories have been announced which include "Barbie," "Oppenheimer," "Killers of the Flower Moon" and more.
Resolved
NO
Oppenheimer
Resolved
NO
Poor Things
Resolved
NO
Barbie
Resolved
YES
Maestro
Resolved
YES
Oppenheimer
Resolved
YES
The Zone of Interest
Resolved
YES
Poor Things
Resolved
NO
Killers of the Flower Moon
Resolved
YES
Oppenheimer
Resolved
NO
Poor Things
Resolved
NO
Killers of the Flower Moon
Resolved
NO
Barbie
100%100.0%
4
0.0%
0
0.0%
1
0.0%
2
100%99.9%
0
0.0%
1
0.0%
2
0.0%
3
100%99.9%
0
0.0%
1
0.0%
2
0.0%
3
100%99.9%
1
0.0%
0
0.1%
2
0.0%
3
Resolved
YES
Richard Lewis
Resolved
YES
Carl Weathers
Resolved
YES
Lee Sun-kyun
Resolved
YES
Ryan O'Neal
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