2024 Oscars Prop Bets Live! 🏆🎬 96th Academy Awards Ceremony Broadcast
287
48kṀ1.3mresolved Mar 11
Resolved
YESMusic cuts off speech
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NOJimmy Kimmel goes out into the audience
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YESStanding ovation
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YESRed dress on stage
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YESWinner mentions hometown
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YESSomeone mentions Taylor Swift
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YESSomeone thanks "the academy" in acceptance speech
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NOA winner references getting drunk after the awards
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NOOpening monologue is over 15 minutes
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NOAny Best Actress nominee wears gold clothing (visible)
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YESWinner pulls out speech on-stage
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YESWinner speaks with foreign accent
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YES"Barbenheimer" mentioned
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YESWinner thanks spouse/partner
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NOSomeone says "ceasefire"
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YES(At least) one person is on stage twice to accept two different awards
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NOSomeone says “fuck” (likely to be censored)
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NOWinner thanks Netflix
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YESWinner thanks God in an acceptance speech
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NOWinner mentions climate change in an acceptance speech
Will make every effort to resolve each item in a timely manner based on available information from viewing the show, bookmakers, Wikipedia, X, and other sources. If there is no credible source, will resolve N/A. Some items will take longer to resolve than others to ensure resolution accuracy so please be patient.
96th Academy Awards
Official ABC broadcast only (unless otherwise specified)
No pre-show, interviews, red carpet or after-show (unless otherwise specified)
Questions with some ambiguity not added by the market creator may require additional direction from the user that added the question
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What is this?
What is Manifold?
Manifold is the world's largest social prediction market.
Get accurate real-time odds on politics, tech, sports, and more.
Or create your own play-money betting market on any question you care about.
Are our predictions accurate?
Yes! Manifold is very well calibrated, with forecasts on average within 4 percentage points of the true probability. Our probabilities are created by users buying and selling shares of a market.
In the 2022 US midterm elections, we outperformed all other prediction market platforms and were in line with FiveThirtyEight’s performance. Many people who don't like betting still use Manifold to get reliable news.
Why use play money?
Why use play money?Mana (Ṁ) is the play-money currency used to bet on Manifold. It cannot be converted to cash. All users start with Ṁ1,000 for free.
Play money means it's much easier for anyone anywhere in the world to get started and try out forecasting without any risk. It also means there's more freedom to create and bet on any type of question.