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96th Academy Awards
Official ABC broadcast only (unless otherwise specified)
No pre-show, interviews, red carpet or after-show (unless otherwise specified)
Questions with some ambiguity not added by the market creator may require additional direction from the user that added the question
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@NFL This is what I got from Perplexity, but not sure how much to trust itβ¦: https://www.perplexity.ai/search/Did-the-Oscars-M.azTEd8RniKLjM0Zox3FA
@dglid For some reason for me it thought Chris Mortensen was in the memoriam, although he wasn't listed in the Wikipedia entry. So unreliable.
Kris Bowers was born in Los Angeles and mentions that he went to "LA Public Schools", which I think should count.
https://youtu.be/Hf48aDZrBG4?si=7Uv-suKsZtAOP50B&t=73
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Nobody actually says "ceasefire". Glazer on Gaza:
"Right now, we stand here as men who refute their Jewishness and the Holocaust being hijacked by an occupation, which has led to conflict for so many innocent people β whether the victims of October the 7th in Israel or the ongoing attack on Gaza β all the victims of this dehumanizationβ¦ how do we resist?"
I don't recall anyone else bringing it up on stage. Pins clearly don't count.
@nikstar Yeah, this one seems pretty clear. βCalling forβ is the one I argue can be done without explicitly saying the word ceasefire.
![](https://firebasestorage.googleapis.com/v0/b/mantic-markets.appspot.com/o/user-images%2Fdefault%2FyrhotgYQN5.jpg?alt=media&token=0f01d40b-36d6-4c9b-a60d-a69130e9ad45)
NYT agrees, also worn on stage
@Will94fc I literally watched his speech twice to make sure I was right also π I'm quitting manifold bye this is so sick
@NFL No ifs, ands, buts, or obamacares on this one. Itβs very clearly defined. Letβs get it resolved ASAP.
@Ziddletwix I was kinda doing that strategy for the state of the union speech, and I got surprisingly close to even with my bets. This time the strategy was just that if something happened, there's like a 90% chance that somebody on Manifold would have noticed and bought it up to >85%
@traders Put a good dent in these tonight, but the last 15 or so will need a quick re-watch tomorrow morning just to confirm. Please stand by.