Which movies will win in any category at the Oscars in 2024?
Standard
296
Ṁ180k
resolved Mar 11
Resolved
YES
The Wonderful Story of Henry Sugar
Resolved
YES
Oppenheimer
Resolved
YES
Godzilla Minus One
Resolved
YES
The Last Repair Shop
Resolved
YES
Barbie
Resolved
YES
American Fiction
Resolved
YES
The Boy and the Heron
Resolved
YES
The Zone Of Interest
Resolved
YES
Anatomy of a Fall
Resolved
YES
20 Days in Mariupol
Resolved
YES
The Holdovers
Resolved
YES
Poor Things
Resolved
YES
War Is Over!
Resolved
NO
Spider-Man: Across the Spider-Verse
Resolved
NO
Bobi Wine: The People's President
Resolved
NO
Origin
Resolved
NO
The Super Mario Bros. Movie
Resolved
NO
Ferrari
Resolved
NO
Priscilla
Resolved
NO
Society of the Snow

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Made a new movies and series market if you're interested:
https://manifold.markets/TheWabiSabi/-what-will-happen-in-2024-movies-se

Thank you all for betting on this question!

I’d like to thank the Academy for finishing up at a reasonable hour on the east coast.

sold Ṁ0 Answer #568a2302b36c YES

As someone who fell asleep during KOTFM I have never felt so vindicated

bought Ṁ70 Answer #568a2302b36c NO

This is the third worst thing Oppenheimer has ever caused to happen

bought Ṁ150 Answer #49d8fddbcaff NO

Killers of the Flower Moon didn’t end up winning Best Picture or Best Actress, and Maestro didn’t end up winning Best Picture

bought Ṁ1,000 Answer #70d6cb5bc78f NO

Resolves NO, as "Godzilla Minus One" won the only category GOTG v3 was nominated for.

bought Ṁ2,931 Answer #70d6cb5bc78f NO
bought Ṁ1,000 Answer #2a351ee1324a NO

Nvm

@chilli also Sound

Let's remember to wait a minute before resolving, remember La La Land

@TiredCliche help me reminding 😬

The Boy and the Heron

Goddamn lifetime achievement awards

bought Ṁ1,891 Answer #71b0af766f84 NO

@TiredCliche I bet right here but both movies (Spiderman and The Boy and the Heron) were very good!

@TheWabiSabi i'm just coping, haven't seen it yet.
However if Downey Jr wins it will absolutely be a lifetime achievement award, I loved Oppenheimer but his performance was completely forgettable

In your opinion: who should win best movie this year? You can even name movies that aren't on the list.

For me it's Past Lives. It felt fresh and emotional without pushing for it.

@TheWabiSabi Past Lives was also my favorite film of the year. I can't remember another time where I watched two people look at each other in silence- for minutes- and felt glued to my seat.

Just saw the movie and it's way too long and boring...

@TheWabiSabi So it is perfect for an Oscar

@Riley12 best actrice could be the one they get.

20 Days in Mariupol
bought Ṁ7 20 Days in Mariupol YES

Just saw this docu. I have been quite for an hour now...

@TheWabiSabi that's the only doc nominee i've seen. it's very very very heavy

@Ziddletwix it is... tomorrow seeing Eternal Memory as well.

bought Ṁ5 Barbie NO

@SirCryptomind buy more NO 😬

opened a Ṁ100 Barbie YES at 81% order

@TheWabiSabi I put at YES limit order @ 81% & would happily place more, but for full disclosure (probably already known!) worth noting that the BAFTAs were missing Barbie's strongest oscars category (original song).

@Ziddletwix agree!

@SirCryptomind nah Barbie has lock on music-related categories

@Will94fc true, but I'm taking a gable here