Will we get fusion reactors before 2031?
60
378
1k
2031
25%
chance

Resolves as YES if we have built a fusion reactor that has run continuously for at least 24 hours prior to January 1st 2031 at engineering breakeven (Q_E >= 1).

Questions with the same criteria:

/RemNi/will-we-get-fusion-reactors-before-d18e9fd38cd1

/RemNi/will-we-get-fusion-reactors-before-a380452919f1

/RemNi/will-we-get-fusion-reactors-before-93a1ac777df5

/RemNi/will-we-get-fusion-reactors-before-f5a1947c172a

/RemNi/will-we-get-fusion-reactors-before-99b4d79ded14

/RemNi/will-we-get-fusion-reactors-before-600c021a4d39

/RemNi/will-we-get-fusion-reactors-before (this question)

/RemNi/will-we-get-fusion-reactors-before-0f87d48233f5

/RemNi/will-we-get-fusion-reactors-before-02fec46476dd

/RemNi/will-we-get-fusion-reactors-before-a34a5044ccca

/RemNi/will-we-get-fusion-reactors-before-d778d2f304f5

/RemNi/will-we-get-fusion-reactors-before-607391b6e7ff

/RemNi/will-we-get-fusion-reactors-before-9594f28b5777

/RemNi/will-we-get-fusion-reactors-before-c3873b782b65

/RemNi/will-we-get-fusion-reactors-before-8213a4d4f7e6

/RemNi/will-we-get-fusion-reactors-before-ca980dd1dca2

/RemNi/will-we-get-fusion-reactors-before-719c22dafd13

Numeric market:

/RemNi/what-year-do-we-get-fusion-reactors

Other reference points for fusion reactors:

/RemNi/will-we-get-agi-before-we-get-fusio

/RemNi/will-we-get-fusion-reactors-before-585b179f8ac3

/RemNi/will-we-get-a-cure-for-cancer-befor-ba35c785123c

Other questions for 2031:

/RemNi/will-we-get-agi-before-2031

/RemNi/will-we-get-asi-before-2031

/RemNi/will-a-human-venture-again-onto-the-fa1926d83aec

/RemNi/will-we-get-superconductors-before

/RemNi/will-we-discover-alien-life-before

/RemNi/will-a-million-humanoid-robots-have

/RemNi/will-a-significant-ai-generated-mem

/RemNi/will-a-human-walk-on-mars-before-20-cbd9e461335b

/RemNi/will-we-have-a-cure-for-cancer-befo

/RemNi/will-the-dancing-plague-return-befo

/RemNi/full-vr-brain-computer-interface-be

/RemNi/discovery-of-matter-outside-of-our

/RemNi/will-ai-extend-english-before-2031

/RemNi/will-we-get-rouge-ai-before-2031

Different countries:

/RemNi/will-the-usa-acquire-a-fusion-react

/RemNi/will-china-acquire-a-fusion-reactor

/RemNi/will-the-uk-acquire-a-fusion-reacto

/RemNi/will-nauru-acquire-fusion-reactors

Engineering breakeven is defined here: https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Fusion_energy_gain_factor#Engineering_breakeven

The fusion reactor must have been built by human civilization or one of its descendants in order to qualify in the context of this question.

Get Ṁ600 play money