Will Nauru acquire a fusion reactor before 2031?
9
150Ṁ1122
2031
3%
chance

Resolves as YES if a fusion reactor has been built in (or relocated to) Nauru and has run continuously for at least 24 hours prior to January 1st 2031 at engineering breakeven (Q_E >= 1).

Different technologies:

/RemNi/will-nauru-acquire-nuclear-weapons

/RemNi/will-nauru-acquire-fusion-reactors (this question)

/RemNi/will-nauru-acquire-aircraft-carrier

/RemNi/will-nauru-acquire-a-hypersonic-mis

Different countries:

/RemNi/will-the-usa-acquire-a-fusion-react

/RemNi/will-china-acquire-a-fusion-reactor

/RemNi/will-the-uk-acquire-a-fusion-reacto

/RemNi/will-nauru-acquire-fusion-reactors (this question)

Fusion reactor questions:

/RemNi/will-we-get-fusion-reactors-before-d18e9fd38cd1

/RemNi/will-we-get-fusion-reactors-before-a380452919f1

/RemNi/will-we-get-fusion-reactors-before-93a1ac777df5

/RemNi/will-we-get-fusion-reactors-before-f5a1947c172a

/RemNi/will-we-get-fusion-reactors-before-99b4d79ded14

/RemNi/will-we-get-fusion-reactors-before-600c021a4d39

/RemNi/will-we-get-fusion-reactors-before

/RemNi/will-we-get-fusion-reactors-before-0f87d48233f5

/RemNi/will-we-get-fusion-reactors-before-02fec46476dd

/RemNi/will-we-get-fusion-reactors-before-a34a5044ccca

/RemNi/will-we-get-fusion-reactors-before-d778d2f304f5

/RemNi/will-we-get-fusion-reactors-before-607391b6e7ff

/RemNi/will-we-get-fusion-reactors-before-9594f28b5777

/RemNi/will-we-get-fusion-reactors-before-c3873b782b65

/RemNi/will-we-get-fusion-reactors-before-8213a4d4f7e6

Numeric market:

/RemNi/what-year-do-we-get-fusion-reactors

For the purpose of this question, Nauru includes all its land and sea territory. A fusion reactor counts if it's controlled by the Nauruan State, a local or foreign enterprise, or a foreign nation (but not a foreign nation's military). However, any construction, use, or ownership change must be freely approved by Nauru. Reactors built or used without Nauru's permission, or by foreign military, don't qualify in the context of this question.

Engineering breakeven is defined here: https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Fusion_energy_gain_factor#Engineering_breakeven

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