
Resolves as YES if we have built a fusion reactor that has run continuously for at least 24 hours prior to January 1st 2025 at engineering breakeven (Q_E >= 1).
Questions with the same criteria:
/RemNi/will-we-get-fusion-reactors-before-d18e9fd38cd1 (this question)
/RemNi/will-we-get-fusion-reactors-before-a380452919f1
/RemNi/will-we-get-fusion-reactors-before-93a1ac777df5
/RemNi/will-we-get-fusion-reactors-before-f5a1947c172a
/RemNi/will-we-get-fusion-reactors-before-99b4d79ded14
/RemNi/will-we-get-fusion-reactors-before-600c021a4d39
/RemNi/will-we-get-fusion-reactors-before
/RemNi/will-we-get-fusion-reactors-before-0f87d48233f5
/RemNi/will-we-get-fusion-reactors-before-02fec46476dd
/RemNi/will-we-get-fusion-reactors-before-a34a5044ccca
/RemNi/will-we-get-fusion-reactors-before-d778d2f304f5
/RemNi/will-we-get-fusion-reactors-before-607391b6e7ff
/RemNi/will-we-get-fusion-reactors-before-9594f28b5777
/RemNi/will-we-get-fusion-reactors-before-c3873b782b65
/RemNi/will-we-get-fusion-reactors-before-8213a4d4f7e6
/RemNi/will-we-get-fusion-reactors-before-ca980dd1dca2
/RemNi/will-we-get-fusion-reactors-before-719c22dafd13
Numeric market:
/RemNi/what-year-do-we-get-fusion-reactors
Other reference points for fusion reactors:
/RemNi/will-we-get-agi-before-we-get-fusio
/RemNi/will-we-get-fusion-reactors-before-585b179f8ac3
/RemNi/will-we-get-a-cure-for-cancer-befor-ba35c785123c
Other questions for 2025:
/RemNi/will-we-get-agi-before-2025
/RemNi/will-a-human-walk-on-the-moon-again-97ccfb75fd6d
/RemNi/will-we-get-room-temperature-superc-e940f30870be
/RemNi/will-we-discover-alien-life-before-031ec0858fcc
/RemNi/will-a-significant-ai-generated-mem-5f798d3b2ace
/RemNi/will-we-get-a-cure-for-cancer-befor-bf2acb801224
Engineering breakeven is defined here: https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Fusion_energy_gain_factor#Engineering_breakeven
The fusion reactor must have been built by human civilization or one of its descendants in order to qualify in the context of this question.
People are also trading
BBC News - World record for energy from nuclear fusion set