Will we get fusion reactors before 2036?
Will we get fusion reactors before 2036?
40
1kṀ1413
2035
55%
chance

Resolves as YES if we have built a fusion reactor that has run continuously for at least 24 hours prior to January 1st 2036 at engineering breakeven (Q_E >= 1).

Questions with the same criteria:


/RemNi/will-we-get-fusion-reactors-before-d18e9fd38cd1

/RemNi/will-we-get-fusion-reactors-before-a380452919f1

/RemNi/will-we-get-fusion-reactors-before-93a1ac777df5

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/RemNi/will-we-get-fusion-reactors-before-600c021a4d39

/RemNi/will-we-get-fusion-reactors-before

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/RemNi/will-we-get-fusion-reactors-before-02fec46476dd

/RemNi/will-we-get-fusion-reactors-before-a34a5044ccca

/RemNi/will-we-get-fusion-reactors-before-d778d2f304f5

/RemNi/will-we-get-fusion-reactors-before-607391b6e7ff (this question)

/RemNi/will-we-get-fusion-reactors-before-9594f28b5777

/RemNi/will-we-get-fusion-reactors-before-c3873b782b65

/RemNi/will-we-get-fusion-reactors-before-8213a4d4f7e6

/RemNi/will-we-get-fusion-reactors-before-ca980dd1dca2

/RemNi/will-we-get-fusion-reactors-before-719c22dafd13

Numeric market:

/RemNi/what-year-do-we-get-fusion-reactors

Other reference points for fusion reactors:

/RemNi/will-we-get-agi-before-we-get-fusio

/RemNi/will-we-get-fusion-reactors-before-585b179f8ac3

/RemNi/will-we-get-a-cure-for-cancer-befor-ba35c785123c

Other questions for 2036:

/RemNi/will-we-get-agi-before-2036

/RemNi/will-a-human-venture-onto-the-lunar

/RemNi/will-we-discover-alien-life-before-50f151c4102f

/RemNi/will-we-get-room-temperature-superc-9cd12d2b6612

/RemNi/will-a-human-venture-onto-the-surfa

/RemNi/will-we-get-a-cure-for-cancer-befor-d3d4a061f891

Engineering breakeven is defined here: https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Fusion_energy_gain_factor#Engineering_breakeven

The fusion reactor must have been built by human civilization or one of its descendants in order to qualify in the context of this question.

Technology
Science
Nuclear fusion reactor
Fusion Energy
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