Resolves as YES if it is possible for the median consumer to purchase a brain computer interface (BCI) that enables them to experience VR indistinguishable from the real world before January 1st 2031.
In order for this question to resolve as YES, such a device must be available for purchase (or free) for at least 90% of adult consumers in at least 4 of the following countries: USA, UK, France, Japan, India, Canada, Australia, Germany, Italy.
Questions with the same criteria:
/RemNi/full-vr-brain-computer-interface-be (this question)
/RemNi/full-vr-brain-computer-interface-be-93569dad097d
/RemNi/full-vr-brain-computer-interface-be-d17e1e9eef9b
/RemNi/full-vr-brain-computer-interface-be-26c0cd7762d5
Other questions for 2031:
/RemNi/will-we-get-agi-before-2031
/RemNi/will-we-get-asi-before-2031
/RemNi/will-we-get-superconductors-before
/RemNi/will-a-human-venture-again-onto-the-fa1926d83aec
/RemNi/will-we-discover-alien-life-before
/RemNi/will-we-get-fusion-reactors-before
/RemNi/will-a-significant-ai-generated-mem
/RemNi/will-a-million-humanoid-robots-have
/RemNi/will-a-human-walk-on-mars-before-20-cbd9e461335b
/RemNi/will-the-dancing-plague-return-befo
/RemNi/discovery-of-matter-outside-of-our
/RemNi/will-we-have-a-cure-for-cancer-befo
/RemNi/will-ai-extend-english-before-2031
/RemNi/will-we-get-rouge-ai-before-2031
The VR experience must be possible to run for at least 1 hour every day for a whole year. This must have been demonstrated for each candidate device with successful human trials on at least 50 individuals that began at least one year prior to this question's end date. The VR experience must replicate the following senses: sight, hearing, smell, touch, taste, acceleration, proprioception. This replication must occur without the body of the user moving in significant ways.
If capitalism is not yet abolished in each respective country on this question's end date, then the cost of installation and running/maintaining this interface for a year must be less than 10% of that country's median income. If the country in question is no longer running consumer capitalism at this time, then available metrics will be used to determine purchasing power equivalents. In either case, at least 2% of the adult population must have installed one of these devices on this question's end date. Both reversible and irreversible BCI implants are acceptable in the context of this question.
The device must include an interface to the user's brain or nervous system. Additional interfaces (e.g. screens, cameras, speakers, microphones) between the device and the user are acceptable.