Will we get fusion reactors before 2040?
Standard
20
Ṁ608
2040
54%
chance

Resolves as YES if we have built a fusion reactor that has run continuously for at least 24 hours prior to January 1st 2040 at engineering breakeven (Q_E >= 1).

Questions with the same criteria:

/RemNi/will-we-get-fusion-reactors-before-d18e9fd38cd1

/RemNi/will-we-get-fusion-reactors-before-a380452919f1

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/RemNi/will-we-get-fusion-reactors-before

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/RemNi/will-we-get-fusion-reactors-before-a34a5044ccca

/RemNi/will-we-get-fusion-reactors-before-d778d2f304f5

/RemNi/will-we-get-fusion-reactors-before-607391b6e7ff

/RemNi/will-we-get-fusion-reactors-before-9594f28b5777

/RemNi/will-we-get-fusion-reactors-before-c3873b782b65

/RemNi/will-we-get-fusion-reactors-before-8213a4d4f7e6

/RemNi/will-we-get-fusion-reactors-before-ca980dd1dca2 (this question)

/RemNi/will-we-get-fusion-reactors-before-719c22dafd13

Numeric market:

/RemNi/what-year-do-we-get-fusion-reactors

Other reference points for fusion reactors:

/RemNi/will-we-get-agi-before-we-get-fusio

/RemNi/will-we-get-fusion-reactors-before-585b179f8ac3

/RemNi/will-we-get-a-cure-for-cancer-befor-ba35c785123c

Other questions for 2040:

/RemNi/will-we-get-agi-before-2040

/RemNi/will-a-human-venture-onto-the-surfa-82852f7eae62

/RemNi/will-we-discover-alien-life-before-a01eba4fa0fb

/RemNi/will-we-get-room-temperature-superc-b54305af5198

/RemNi/will-a-human-walk-on-the-moon-again-92c888722442

Engineering breakeven is defined here: https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Fusion_energy_gain_factor#Engineering_breakeven

The fusion reactor must have been built by human civilization or one of its descendants in order to qualify in the context of this question.

Get
Ṁ1,000
and
S1.00