Will we get fusion reactors before 2032?
Standard
67
Ṁ4369
2032
32%
chance

Resolves as YES if we have built a fusion reactor that has run continuously for at least 24 hours prior to January 1st 2032 at engineering breakeven (Q_E >= 1).

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Engineering breakeven is defined here: https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Fusion_energy_gain_factor#Engineering_breakeven

The fusion reactor must have been built by human civilization or one of its descendants in order to qualify in the context of this question.

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How would you resolve a fusion design based on projectiles like First Light?

They may win the race to a functioning commercial fusion power plant, but I'm uncertain if your resolution criteria of running continuously would resolve YES for their design

@ChrisEdwards I'm happy to have a broad definition of "continous". In their case firing at least one projectile every 10 minutes or something. I'll give it some thought. Thanks for the tip!