Will we get fusion reactors before 2028?
Standard
39
Ṁ3979
2028
13%
chance

Resolves as YES if we have built a fusion reactor that has run continuously for at least 24 hours prior to January 1st 2028 at engineering breakeven (Q_E >= 1).

Questions with the same criteria:

/RemNi/will-we-get-fusion-reactors-before-d18e9fd38cd1

/RemNi/will-we-get-fusion-reactors-before-a380452919f1

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/RemNi/will-we-get-fusion-reactors-before-f5a1947c172a (this question)

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Numeric market:

/RemNi/what-year-do-we-get-fusion-reactors

Other reference points for fusion reactors:

/RemNi/will-we-get-agi-before-we-get-fusio

/RemNi/will-we-get-fusion-reactors-before-585b179f8ac3

/RemNi/will-we-get-a-cure-for-cancer-befor-ba35c785123c

Other questions for 2028:

/RemNi/will-we-get-agi-before-2028-ff560f9e9346

/RemNi/will-we-get-asi-before-2028

/RemNi/will-a-human-venture-again-onto-the-5dd99d5a1e48

/RemNi/will-we-get-room-temperature-superc-3ccf49dbe194

/RemNi/will-we-discover-alien-life-before-5553c437e8a4

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/RemNi/will-we-get-a-cure-for-cancer-befor-7e534a91d188

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/RemNi/will-1m-humanoid-robots-be-manufact-a408a64f3756

Engineering breakeven is defined here: https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Fusion_energy_gain_factor#Engineering_breakeven

The fusion reactor must have been built by human civilization or one of its descendants in order to qualify in the context of this question.

Get
Ṁ1,000
and
S1.00