Will we get fusion reactors before 2041?
Standard
16
Ṁ734
2041
59%
chance

Resolves as YES if we have built a fusion reactor that has run continuously for at least 24 hours prior to January 1st 2041 at engineering breakeven (Q_E >= 1).

Questions with the same criteria:


/RemNi/will-we-get-fusion-reactors-before-d18e9fd38cd1

/RemNi/will-we-get-fusion-reactors-before-a380452919f1

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/RemNi/will-we-get-fusion-reactors-before-ca980dd1dca2

/RemNi/will-we-get-fusion-reactors-before-719c22dafd13 (this question)

Numeric market:

/RemNi/what-year-do-we-get-fusion-reactors

Other reference points for fusion reactors:

/RemNi/will-we-get-agi-before-we-get-fusio

/RemNi/will-we-get-fusion-reactors-before-585b179f8ac3

/RemNi/will-we-get-a-cure-for-cancer-befor-ba35c785123c

Other questions for 2041:

/RemNi/will-we-get-agi-before-2041

/RemNi/will-we-discover-alien-life-before-df678746ea9a

Engineering breakeven is defined here: https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Fusion_energy_gain_factor#Engineering_breakeven

The fusion reactor must have been built by human civilization or one of its descendants in order to qualify in the context of this question.

Get
Ṁ1,000
and
S1.00
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