Will we get fusion reactors before 2034?
Standard
23
Ṁ1435
2034
38%
chance

Resolves as YES if we have built a fusion reactor that has run continuously for at least 24 hours prior to January 1st 2034 at engineering breakeven (Q_E >= 1).

Questions with the same criteria:

/RemNi/will-we-get-fusion-reactors-before-d18e9fd38cd1

/RemNi/will-we-get-fusion-reactors-before-a380452919f1

/RemNi/will-we-get-fusion-reactors-before-93a1ac777df5

/RemNi/will-we-get-fusion-reactors-before-f5a1947c172a

/RemNi/will-we-get-fusion-reactors-before-99b4d79ded14

/RemNi/will-we-get-fusion-reactors-before-600c021a4d39

/RemNi/will-we-get-fusion-reactors-before

/RemNi/will-we-get-fusion-reactors-before-0f87d48233f5

/RemNi/will-we-get-fusion-reactors-before-02fec46476dd

/RemNi/will-we-get-fusion-reactors-before-a34a5044ccca (this question)

/RemNi/will-we-get-fusion-reactors-before-d778d2f304f5

/RemNi/will-we-get-fusion-reactors-before-607391b6e7ff

/RemNi/will-we-get-fusion-reactors-before-9594f28b5777

/RemNi/will-we-get-fusion-reactors-before-c3873b782b65

/RemNi/will-we-get-fusion-reactors-before-8213a4d4f7e6

/RemNi/will-we-get-fusion-reactors-before-ca980dd1dca2

/RemNi/will-we-get-fusion-reactors-before-719c22dafd13

Numeric market:

/RemNi/what-year-do-we-get-fusion-reactors

Other reference points for fusion reactors:

/RemNi/will-we-get-agi-before-we-get-fusio

/RemNi/will-we-get-fusion-reactors-before-585b179f8ac3

/RemNi/will-we-get-a-cure-for-cancer-befor-ba35c785123c

Other questions for 2034:

/RemNi/will-we-get-agi-before-2034

/RemNi/will-we-get-asi-before-2034

/RemNi/will-a-human-venture-again-onto-the

/RemNi/will-we-get-room-temperature-superc-ba1e9ced21b7

/RemNi/will-we-discover-alien-life-before-10cdf89aac16

/RemNi/will-a-human-walk-on-mars-before-20-046bbe924d16

/RemNi/will-we-get-a-cure-for-cancer-befor-06bd353512dc

/RemNi/will-1m-humanoid-robots-be-manufact-b852297a6f2a

/RemNi/full-vr-brain-computer-interface-be-26c0cd7762d5

Engineering breakeven is defined here: https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Fusion_energy_gain_factor#Engineering_breakeven

The fusion reactor must have been built by human civilization or one of its descendants in order to qualify in the context of this question.

Get
Ṁ1,000
and
S1.00