Will we get fusion reactors before 2034?
21
1.3k
2034
35%
chance

Resolves as YES if we have built a fusion reactor that has run continuously for at least 24 hours prior to January 1st 2034 at engineering breakeven (Q_E >= 1).

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Engineering breakeven is defined here: https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Fusion_energy_gain_factor#Engineering_breakeven

The fusion reactor must have been built by human civilization or one of its descendants in order to qualify in the context of this question.

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