Self Driving Cars

Will Waymo give public driverless rides on any SF freeways by the end of Q3 (September) 2024? [description]39% chance

#Self-Driving Vehicles

Will I be able to take a Waymo ride from Stanford campus to the South Park Blue Bottle by EOY 2024?15% chance

#Self-Driving Vehicles

Will a self-driving taxi service be cheaper than an Uber ride (with a driver) to the same location on 12/31/2468% chance

#Self-Driving Vehicles

#Carson's Important Markets

How many markets will Waymo add in 2024? (Beyond current SF and Phoenix)

3%

0

23%

1

55%

2

13%

3

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#Self-Driving Vehicles

Will Waymo work on highways in 2024?84% chance

#Self-Driving Vehicles

Will Cruise or Waymo open their services to everyone in SF by end of 2024?83% chance

#Self-Driving Vehicles

Will Waymo be fully deployed in LA by the end of 2024?76% chance

Will Waymo give public rides to/from SFO airport terminals (driverless or not) by the end of 2024?60% chance

#Self-Driving Vehicles

Will I have easy access to a long-distance self-driving car by the end of 2028?32% chance

#Self-Driving Vehicles

#Personal Goals

Will autonomous driving rideshares exceed human-driven rideshares by the start of 2030 (in the US)? [Ṁ1500 subsidy] 30% chance

#Self-Driving Vehicles

Will fully autonomous (level 5) self-driving cars be available in a major city before 2030?58% chance

#Self-Driving Vehicles

Will I drive a car in 2030?69% chance

#Self-Driving Vehicles

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