Will a self-driving taxi service be cheaper than an Uber ride (with a driver) to the same location on 12/31/24
40
1kṀ2904resolved Jan 2
Resolved
NO1H
6H
1D
1W
1M
ALL
Oct 13, 8:21pm: In SF on a ride of my choosing.
Oct 13, 11:00pm: To be more accurate I will look at 5 potential trips in SF and take the median of the results.
Update 2024-18-12 (PST): The market will be resolved based on number of wins out of the 5 trips. If Waymo is cheaper on 3 or more trips, the market resolves YES, otherwise NO. (AI summary of creator comment)
This question is managed and resolved by Manifold.
Get 
1,000 to start trading!
1,000🏅 Top traders
| # | Name | Total profit |
|---|---|---|
| 1 | Ṁ350 | |
| 2 | Ṁ304 | |
| 3 | Ṁ203 | |
| 4 | Ṁ172 | |
| 5 | Ṁ99 |
People are also trading
Related questions
Will Tesla offer a Robo-Taxi service by the end of 2025?
65% chance
Will a self-driving taxi service be cheaper than an Uber ride (with a driver) to the same location on 2025-12-31
54% chance
Tesla launches driverless Robotaxi service before August?
14% chance
Will New York City have a generally available self-driving taxi or rideshare service by 2026?
26% chance
Will there be self driving taxis in London before the end of 2025?
15% chance
Will Tesla have driverless ride-hailing in the US by end of year?
47% chance
Will there be a self-driving taxi service in SF with a working desk seat and wifi by the end of 2025?
19% chance
Will self-driving taxis be available in London by the end of 2030?
82% chance
Will the Robotaxi come out below $30,000?
11% chance
When will it be cheaper to get a piggyback ride on a humanoid robot than to hail a rideshare vehicle?