Will a self-driving taxi service be cheaper than an Uber ride (with a driver) to the same location on 12/31/24
18
closes 2025
78%
chance

Oct 13, 8:21pm: In SF on a ride of my choosing.

Oct 13, 11:00pm: To be more accurate I will look at 5 potential trips in SF and take the median of the results.

Get Ṁ500 play money

Related questions

Will Tesla deliver its first Cybertruck in Q3/23?
Yves avatarYves
4% chance
Will Rivian announce they’ve sold at least 15,000 vehicles in Q3 2023?
ElmerFudd avatarelmo
80% chance
Will Rivian announce they’ve sold at least 20,000 vehicles in Q3 2023?
ElmerFudd avatarelmo
50% chance
Will Tesla face successful legal action (fines, lawsuits) relating to accusations that Autopilot demonstrations are/were staged?
Gen avatarGenzy
14% chance
I will see a normal steel Tesla cybertruck in San Mateo area by end of September
StrayClimb avatarCalvinball
33% chance
Will Tesla Vehicle deliveries q3 2023 exceed 450,000?
Will Tesla surpass $1 trillion market cap anytime before the end of 2023?
tofu avatartofu
29% chance
Will Tesla close below $200 before the end of this year?
JakeDaunt avatarJake Daunt
30% chance
Will Tesla raise the cost of its Full Self Driving software in 2023?
Will Tesla Vehicle production q3 2023 exceed 500,000?
Will Tesla become the top-selling car manufacturer in 2027?
Mikelon797 avatarMikelon797
22% chance
Tesla (TSLA) stock price end of 2023?
Will Comma.ai let me read a book while driving before Tesla does?
dreev avatarDaniel Reeves
10% chance
Will Tesla deliver its first Cybertruck in Q4/23?
Yves avatarYves
85% chance
Will Tesla produce more than 1500 Cybertrucks in 2023?
Yves avatarYves
50% chance
Will Tesla provide (or be included in) an autonomous ride-hailing service before the end of 2026
makoyass avatarmako yass
71% chance
Self-driving car dilemma
SeamusBronski avatarSeamus Bronski
39% chance
I will see a normal steel Tesla cybertruck in San Mateo area by end of October
StrayClimb avatarCalvinball
39% chance
Will Tesla announce a new consumer vehicle model during 2023?
Will Tesla allow any FSD Beta user to drive hands-free by the end of 2023?
TimothyKassis avatarTimothy Kassis
44% chance