Will Waymo be fully deployed in LA by the end of 2024?
16
285
แน€1k
2025
76%
chance

Context:

Waymo is deployed in San Francisco and Phoenix, accepting customers 24/7 throughout the city.

Waymo is finishing up its 5-month tour of testing in LA in early March 2024. In the 9 months after that, before the end of the year, will you be able to book a ride?

Criteria:
Allow anyone downloading the app to book a ride in LA without a waitlist or invite codes by December 31st, 2024.

An announcement doesn't count, you have to be able to book a ride.

There has to be significant deployment of cars and service areas covering large parts of LA, so one could reasonably expect to get a ride i.e. an LA equivalent of Zoox's testing within Foster City wouldn't count as a full deployment, you should be able to go a reasonable distance such as between most or all of it's testing areas; Santa Monica; Century City; WeHo; Mid City; K-Town and DTLA.

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They're taking payment in LA now and anecdotally they're letting people off the waitlist

https://www.nbcnews.com/tech/innovation/waymo-will-launch-paid-robotaxi-service-los-angeles-wednesday-rcna147101

https://www.npr.org/2024/03/14/1238489046/waymo-robotaxi-los-angeles
Slightly late to update this but Waymo is but the cars are now roaming around all of LA. It's still an invite only list and free for now but will be changing to paid service soon

bought แน€15 of YES

Why is the probability here so different from this other market? https://manifold.markets/BenLoveitt/will-waymo-be-fully-deployed-in-la

predicts NO

without a waitlist or invite codes

this is the key bit

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