OpenAI

Deepseek

Israel Ceasefire

TikTok Ban

LA Fire

Oscars 2025

H5N1

Trump

Cabinet

Nintendo Switch 2

Trudeau Resigns

Hard Forkcasts 2025

Korea

Biden

House Speaker

Sora 

Bitcoin

2028 Election

AGI Timelines

Taylor Swift

Elon/Tesla

Sama Drama

AI Math

Twitter

ACX 2024 

One Piece

Music AI Race

Hard Forkasts 2024

AI 2025

Relationship constitutional republic: people in it have systemically different levels of power and decision-making influence

Glucose guardian/splenda spender/sugar daddy

Traditional marriage of two cis straight White Christian vanilla people where the man "leads" and is 0-4 years older than the woman, with 2.5 kids (not counting any LGBTQIA+ ones) and a McMansion with 2.5 SUVs/trucks

liking/reacting to even their most meaningless posts and comments on social media and prediction markets

Partners in crime, like Caroline Ellison and Sam Bankman-Fried

One with an IPO (Intimate Partnership Offer)

I like big butts and I cannot tell the truth, how will you escape our dungeon

"I'll never admit to anyone that we met on Tinder"

Single by choice (except it's other people's choice)

'back':2 'bring':1 'cha':5 'cha-ch':4 'ching':6 'sound':7

'announc':1 'crypto':3 'currenc':4 'mana':2

'cftc':1 'manifold':6 'order':2 'prohibit':4

Swap the positions of the bet YES and NO buttons

'bet':6 'button':10 'posit':3 'swap':1 'yes':7

Launching a new funny Manifold offshoot (like Manifold Love or politics, just not serious)

'funni':4 'launch':1 'like':7 'love':9 'manifold':5,8 'new':3 'offshoot':6 'polit':11 'serious':14

Allow Mana donations to Hamas, KKK, Scientology, or something similar

'allow':1 'donat':3 'hama':5 'kkk':6 'mana':2 'scientolog':7 'similar':10 'someth':9

In addition to light and dark mode, there is a colorful mode

'addit':2 'color':11 'dark':6 'light':4 'mode':7,12

Swap the colors of the bet YES and NO buttons

'bet':6 'button':10 'color':3 'swap':1 'yes':7

Pay to Win: Mana bought on April 1 is implicitly profit (ranked)

'1':8 'april':7 'bought':5 'implicit':10 'mana':4 'pay':1 'profit':11 'rank':12 'win':3

Enable technical analysis on price charts

'analysi':3 'chart':6 'enabl':1 'price':5 'technic':2

Use a more serious scientific font: Computer Modern

'comput':7 'font':6 'modern':8 'scientif':5 'serious':4 'use':1

One April’s fool market is created, where each mana betted is immediately reimbursed, with random resolution.

'april':2 'bet':11 'creat':7 'fool':4 'immedi':13 'mana':10 'market':5 'one':1 'random':16 'reimburs':14 'resolut':17

'crane':6 'flip':3 'logo':7 'paper':5 'rotat':1

They *accidentally* add a bug in Manifold which breaks core functionality

'accident':2 'add':3 'break':9 'bug':5 'core':10 'function':11 'manifold':7

They remove core functionality of Manifold on purpose

'core':3 'function':4 'manifold':6 'purpos':8 'remov':2

Introduce something new and purchasable with mana

'introduc':1 'mana':7 'new':3 'purchas':5 'someth':2

Put games or other enjoyable frivolities on the About/links page

'about/links':9 'enjoy':5 'frivol':6 'game':2 'page':10 'put':1

Bring back lootboxes or other gacha mechanic

'back':2 'bring':1 'gacha':6 'lootbox':3 'mechan':7

Intentionally do something that makes it (falsely) look like the site's broken to a front page user for any meaningful length of time

'broken':13 'fals':7 'front':16 'intent':1 'length':22 'like':9 'look':8 'make':5 'meaning':21 'page':17 'site':11 'someth':3 'time':24 'user':18

Make those of us who say they don't care enough about fixing bugs look like fools by fixing lotsa bugs

'bug':14,21 'care':10 'enough':11 'fix':13,19 'fool':17 'like':16 'look':15 'lotsa':20 'make':1 'say':6 'us':4

Make this market ranked: https://manifold.markets/Joshua/troll-logic-megamarket-what-things

'/joshua/troll-logic-megamarket-what-things':7 'make':1 'manifold.markets':6 'manifold.markets/joshua/troll-logic-megamarket-what-things':5 'market':3 'rank':4

AMM removed/ largely reduced for some market

'amm':1 'larg':3 'market':7 'reduc':4 'remov':2

Leagues don’t end or something leagues related

Any current or former United States Senator

Poly Markets