Kamala Harris's 2024 popular vote share

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Ṁ100kNov 6

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38%

>50%, wins popular vote

37%

<50%, wins popular vote

25%

<50%, loses popular vote

0.1%

Exactly 50%

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Exactly 50%

@AndrewG Are we rounding this to the nearest percentafg point? Because odds of a fair coin landing on heads exactly 75 million times out of 150 million is basically zero.

In 50% of worlds there's an odd number of total votes, and in that case, a 75000000-75000001 result would still not count as exactly 50%

Yes; thus the absence of a ">50%, loses popular vote" option

@kevor RFK or others could pull a couple points from kamala/trump

## Related questions

## Related questions

Who will endorse Kamala Harris for President in 2024? (Or say that they are voting for her)

How much of the popular vote will Kamala Harris win in the 2024 United States Presidential election?

Will Kamala Harris’ “electionbettingodds” exceed 68.5% (Trump's Peak) before November 2024?

37% chance

What will Biden's share of the popular vote be in the 2024 election?

Will Kamala Harris WIN the 2024 Presidential election for Democrats?

53% chance

How many votes will Kamala Harris get in the 2024 United States Presidential election?

Will Kamala Harris's presidential election odds reach 60% or 40% first on Polymarket by November?

Will Kamala Harris’ “electionbettingodds” exceed 61.2% before November 2024?

52% chance

Will Kamala Harris’ “electionbettingodds” exceed 55.5% before November 2024?

78% chance

Will Kamala Harris win the 2024 US presidential election?

51% chance