โž•
Plus
323
แน€143k
Nov 6
54%
chance

If Biden does not do this before August, this market will be cancelled and mana traded will be returned.

If Biden does drop out and endorse Harris, this market resolves YES if she wins the 2024 US Presidential Election and NO if she does not.

See the following market for base rate:

Get แน€1,000 play money
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bought แน€75 NO

Give me a break you guys. I swear the Democrats could nominate a gorilla to run for president and liberals would proudly declare their candidate was "now leading in polls" ...of course they are.

Biden was losing in the same polls Kamala is now winning in. Polls are directly relevant to the election, so I'm not sure I understand what the complaint here is.

Manifold is in a Democrat bubble so the market is going to skew their direction

I mean, we're doing what prediction markets encourage: putting our money/mana where our mouths are.

It either resolves YES or NO; you're either pregnant or you're not. If you like buying NO shares, it benefits you for the percentage to go up because you can buy NO shares at a cheaper rate.

If you think YES holders are wrong, you can funnel more mana against them to profit off of them and prove a point.

Be mindful though. Buying shares should be indicative of what you think will happen, not of what you want to happen.

If you think it skews Democrat, then bet on Republicans for free mana!

bought แน€800 NO

No

bought แน€100 YES

I stand with Kamala.

Why?

Because I don't like Trump and she is the only other reasonable choice.

Kamala is an Alex Soros puppet.

Prove it.

related (no endorsement, no month restriction)

/strutheo/if-joe-biden-drops-out-in-favor-of