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Good Judgment "Superforecasters"

This dashboard compares Good Judgement predictions to Manifold predictions.

Please message @Tumbles if you have a Manifold market that matches one of these Superforecaster predictions.

More markets that compare the 2024 predictions of Manifold and Good Judgement

The Economist
What the “superforecasters” predict for major events in 2024
The experts at Good Judgment weigh in on the coming year | The World Ahead
100%99.9%
Higher by between 2.75% and 3.50%, inclusive
0.0%
Lower than 1.25%
0.0%
Higher by between 1.25% and 2.00%, inclusive
0.0%
Higher by more than 2.00% but less than 2.75%
100%98%
Between 272 and 298
0.0%
271 or fewer
1.5%
Between 299 and 325
0.2%
Between 326 and 352
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