How many seats will the ruling BJP-led National Democratic Alliance win in the 2024 Indian General Election?
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34
Ṁ19k
resolved Jun 5
100%98%
Between 272 and 298
0.0%
271 or fewer
1.5%
Between 299 and 325
0.2%
Between 326 and 352
0.3%
353 or more

Resolves according to official results and coverage of. All 543 seats in the Lok Sabha are up for election. 272 seats are needed for a majority

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manyuboughtṀ50353 or more NO

What's going on with this question? I spent like 2.5k mana trying to move the price but it doesn't change, though my wealth has been deducted.

@manyu I had some issues with the market showing old data too. These are the trades you actually did:

sold Ṁ2 Between 299 and 325 YES

@sarius The NY Times has concluded that NDA will end up with exactly 289 seats: India Live Election Results and Map 2024 - The New York Times (nytimes.com).

Is that enough to resolve, or do you still want to wait for official results?

khatam tata bye bye gaya

https://manifold.markets/dashboard/good-judgment-superforecasters?r=VHVtYmxlcw

Matches up perfectly with one of these "superforecaster" questions