How many seats will the ruling BJP-led National Democratic Alliance win in the 2024 Indian General Election?
ElectionsElections: WorldIndiaThe Economist: The World Ahead 20242024 Indian general election2024 Elections - World
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34
Ṁ19k
resolved Jun 5
100%98%
Between 272 and 298
0.0%
271 or fewer
1.5%
Between 299 and 325
0.2%
Between 326 and 352
0.3%
353 or more

Resolves according to official results and coverage of. All 543 seats in the Lok Sabha are up for election. 272 seats are needed for a majority

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NDA at 293 max. Resolving according to this: https://results.eci.gov.in/PcResultGenJune2024/index.htm and this https://timesofindia.indiatimes.com/elections/results

manyuboughtṀ50353 or more NO

What's going on with this question? I spent like 2.5k mana trying to move the price but it doesn't change, though my wealth has been deducted.

@manyu I had some issues with the market showing old data too. These are the trades you actually did:

sold Ṁ2 Between 299 and 325 YES

@sarius The NY Times has concluded that NDA will end up with exactly 289 seats: India Live Election Results and Map 2024 - The New York Times (nytimes.com).

Is that enough to resolve, or do you still want to wait for official results?

khatam tata bye bye gaya

bought Ṁ80 353 or more YES

https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Opinion_polling_for_the_2024_Indian_general_election

https://manifold.markets/dashboard/good-judgment-superforecasters?r=VHVtYmxlcw

Matches up perfectly with one of these "superforecaster" questions

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