Resolves according to official results and coverage of. All 543 seats in the Lok Sabha are up for election. 272 seats are needed for a majority
1,000🏅 Top traders
| # | Name | Total profit |
|---|---|---|
| 1 | Ṁ706 | |
| 2 | Ṁ653 | |
| 3 | Ṁ614 | |
| 4 | Ṁ197 | |
| 5 | Ṁ182 |
NDA at 293 max. Resolving according to this: https://results.eci.gov.in/PcResultGenJune2024/index.htm and this https://timesofindia.indiatimes.com/elections/results
@manyu I had some issues with the market showing old data too. These are the trades you actually did:
@sarius The NY Times has concluded that NDA will end up with exactly 289 seats: India Live Election Results and Map 2024 - The New York Times (nytimes.com).
Is that enough to resolve, or do you still want to wait for official results?
https://manifold.markets/dashboard/good-judgment-superforecasters?r=VHVtYmxlcw
Matches up perfectly with one of these "superforecaster" questions