Dutch Cabinet Formation

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Who will be the next prime minister of the Netherlands following the 2023 Election?

100%98%

Dick Schoof

0.1%

Frans Timmermans

0.1%

Mona Keijzer

0.4%

Dilan Yeşilgöz-Zegerius

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Oud-minister Ronald Plasterk (PvdA) beoogd nieuwe verkenner

De PVV is bij de verkiezingen verreweg de grootste partij geworden. In de laatste prognose staat Wilders’ partij op 37 zetels. Daarna volgen GroenLinks-PvdA…

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Will Ronald Plasterk succeed in his role as "Verkenner"?YES

Far right PVV is clear winner in Dutch election with 25% support - DutchNews.nl

Far right PVV is clear winner in Dutch election with 25% support

Will Geert Wilders be the Dutch Prime Minister at any point in 2024?6% chance

After the 2023 Dutch General elections, when will a new government be formed and take office?

100%99.5%

In 2024 Q3

0.0%

In 2023 Q4

0.1%

In 2024 Q1

0.3%

In 2024 Q2

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Which parties will have a minister or state secretary in the next Cabinet of the Netherlands?

Resolved

YES

PVV

Resolved

YES

VVD

Resolved

YES

NSC

Resolved

YES

BBB

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2023 Dutch General Election: will cabinet formation succeed?YES

Netherlands: Will new elections be called before the end of 2024?15% chance

Will the PVV be part of the next governing coalition of the Netherlands?YES

Will PvdA-GroenLinks be part of the next governing coalition of the Netherlands?NO

Will the VVD be part of the next governing coalition of the Netherlands?YES

Will the NSC be part of the next governing coalition of the Netherlands?YES

Will D66 be part of the next governing coalition of the Netherlands?NO

Will the BBB be part of the next governing coalition of the Netherlands?YES

Will the CDA be part of the next governing coalition of the Netherlands?NO

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