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@uair01 My random number generator said that 42214 would be the next minister president, so strange.
@Bart5f6d I see your irony, but there are some scientific papers that show that human AI cooperation improves predictions. I'm experimenting with that.
@uair01 Probably it uses data from before the elections. In any case, I would recommend not to put so much trust in a black box.
@WieDan I'm guessing 'will not resolve' means it won't cause the market to resolve to person X who is the caretaker PM. It will keep not being resolved till we get a new prime minister, it won't resolve N/A (unless like the Netherlands dissolves as a country)
I see basically two possible outcomes except re-election:
GL/PvdA + NSC + (support from VVD) + D66 -> Frans Timmermans is PM
PVV + NSC + BBB + (Support from VVD) -> Geert Wilders is PM
I think the first one is slightly more likely than the second, because the NSC might not want to burn credibility in a Wilders government and might get a favourable deal with the GL/PvdA.
@StephanWaldchen In your first scenario, I think support from the VVD is extremely unlikely if Frans Timmermans would be PM.
@jskf Mhm, interesting, what makes you say that? Do you think VVD and PvdA are further apart than PVV and VVD?