Bet on Love 💘

What will be the winning bid in the Moisture Meter auction?

100%17%

Ṁ10,000 - Ṁ50,000

0.2%

<Ṁ2,000

0.3%

Ṁ2,000 - Ṁ5,000

0.3%

Ṁ5,000 - Ṁ10,000

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Who stole the painting from the Bet on Love afterparty?

100%97%

Simi Best

1.8%

It wasn't stolen, or it's a misunderstanding, etc.

0.1%

@RickiHeicklen

0.0%

@shankypanky

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Basic

Will Aella post a picture of her date with Philip, winner of Bet on Love, on Twitter before March?YES

Will any of the Bet On Love contestants be at my birthday gangbang?

100%91%

No

6%

Yes, 1

2%

Yes, 2

0.1%

Yes, 3

See 3 more answers

Which newspapers, blogs, or media orgs will mention Bet on Love in 2024?

28%

Asterisk Magazine

21%

Don’t Worry About the Vase

14%

SF Standard

11%

Shtetl Optimized

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Will the Bet on Love recording on YouTube have 50,000+ views before March?NO

Plus

Who will win Bet on Love?

100%80%

Philip

0.3%

Caleb

19%

Zain

0.4%

Daniel

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Will Manifold sponsor/create another professional theater production by the end of 2024?18% chance

1 year from the end of the "Bet on Love" dating show, will Manifold staff believe that it was a good idea?70% chance

Prop Bets on Love

Resolved

YES

There is a contestant besides the 6 that were announced

Resolved

NO

A contestant reveals their body count is 10 or more

Resolved

NO

A contestant reveals their body count is 2 or less

Resolved

YES

A contestant places a large bet on themselves during the show to assert dominance

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Bay Area Bingo: What will I experience/encounter going to watch Manifold's Dating Show in San Francisco?

Resolved

YES

Eat a bagel

Resolved

YES

Talk to a stranger about something they're passionate about

Resolved

YES

Go backstage at the dating show

Resolved

YES

Get insider information from a Manifold staff member

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How many tickets will Bet on Love sell?

100%95%

250+

0.1%

<75

0.7%

75 - 150

5%

150 - 250