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Bet on Love 💘

Bet on Love is the world's first prediction market dating show, featuring Aella as our glamorous bachelorette. The show premiered Feb. 10th, 2024 (or was it 2025?). Watch it now!

YouTube
Bet on Love: The Prediction Market Dating Show ft Aella
Join us on a surreal musical odyssey of romance and live betting.​Six lucky contestants will vie for the chance to go on a date with Aella, our glamorous bac...
What will be the winning bid in the Moisture Meter auction?
100%17%
Ṁ10,000 - Ṁ50,000
0.2%
<Ṁ2,000
0.3%
Ṁ2,000 - Ṁ5,000
0.3%
Ṁ5,000 - Ṁ10,000
See 1 more answer
#Bet on Love
#Art Auction
Who stole the painting from the Bet on Love afterparty?
100%97%
Simi Best
1.8%
It wasn't stolen, or it's a misunderstanding, etc.
0.1%
@RickiHeicklen
0.0%
@shankypanky
See 41 more answers
#Bet on Love
#Law & Order
#Crime
Will Aella post a picture of her date with Philip, winner of Bet on Love, on Twitter before March?YES
#Bet on Love
Will any of the Bet On Love contestants be at my birthday gangbang?
100%91%
No
6%
Yes, 1
2%
Yes, 2
0.1%
Yes, 3
See 3 more answers
#Sex and love
#Bet on Love
Which newspapers, blogs, or media orgs will mention Bet on Love in 2024?
58%
Asterisk Magazine
28%
Don’t Worry About the Vase
26%
SF Standard
10%
Shtetl Optimized
See 4 more answers
#Bet on Love
Will the Bet on Love recording on YouTube have 50,000+ views before March?NO
#Bet on Love
Who will win Bet on Love?
100%80%
Philip
0.3%
Caleb
19%
Zain
0.4%
Daniel
See 3 more answers
#Manifold Dating
#Reality Shows
#Manifold
Will Manifold sponsor/create another professional theater production by the end of 2024?29% chance
#Entertainment
#Manifold Business Future
#Manifold
1 year from the end of the "Bet on Love" dating show, will Manifold staff believe that it was a good idea?90% chance
#Manifold Dating
#Manifold
#Manifold Business Future
Prop Bets on Love
Resolved
YES
There is a contestant besides the 6 that were announced
Resolved
NO
A contestant reveals their body count is 10 or more
Resolved
NO
A contestant reveals their body count is 2 or less
Resolved
YES
A contestant places a large bet on themselves during the show to assert dominance
See 105 more answers
#Bet on Love
#Culture
#Aella
Bay Area Bingo: What will I experience/encounter going to watch Manifold's Dating Show in San Francisco?
Resolved
YES
Eat a bagel
Resolved
YES
Talk to a stranger about something they're passionate about
Resolved
YES
Go backstage at the dating show
Resolved
YES
Get insider information from a Manifold staff member
See 53 more answers
#Travel
#Personal Goals
#Bet on Love
How many tickets will Bet on Love sell?
100%95%
250+
0.1%
<75
0.7%
75 - 150
5%
150 - 250
#Bet on Love