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Good Judgment "Superforecasters"

This dashboard compares Good Judgement predictions to Manifold predictions.

Please message @Tumbles if you have a Manifold market that matches one of these Superforecaster predictions.

More markets that compare the 2024 predictions of Manifold and Good Judgement

What the “superforecasters” predict for major events in 2024

The experts at Good Judgment weigh in on the coming year | The World Ahead

Plus

Will the Russia-Ukraine war end during 2024?6% chance

Basic

Will a Quad country or the PRC publicly accuse the other of using a weapon against its forcesNO

Plus

Will a Democrat win the 2024 US presidential election?NO

Basic

What will be the percentage change in the world's GDP in 2024 relative to the world's GDP in 2023, according to the IMF

100%99.9%

Higher by between 2.75% and 3.50%, inclusive

0.0%

Lower than 1.25%

0.0%

Higher by between 1.25% and 2.00%, inclusive

0.0%

Higher by more than 2.00% but less than 2.75%

See 2 more answers

Plus

How many seats will the ruling BJP-led National Democratic Alliance win in the 2024 Indian General Election?

100%98%

Between 272 and 298

0.0%

271 or fewer

1.5%

Between 299 and 325

0.2%

Between 326 and 352

See 1 more answer

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