Political Events NBA PlayoffsTrump VPTwitterTrump TrialTikTok BanNFL DraftTaylor SwiftLegal Weed?Iran-IsraelBiden-Trump PollsHouse SpeakerJason StonksKey RacesFSK BridgeOpenAIOne PieceMusic AI RaceChessManifestTV PropsWWDC 2024ACX 2024 Hard Forkasts
Deleted by mods

Good Judgment "Superforecasters"

This dashboard compares Good Judgement predictions to Manifold predictions.

Please message @Tumbles if you have a Manifold market that matches one of these Superforecaster predictions.

More markets that compare the 2024 predictions of Manifold and Good Judgement

The Economist
What the “superforecasters” predict for major events in 2024
The experts at Good Judgment weigh in on the coming year | The World Ahead
trending
Will the Russia-Ukraine war end during 2024?15% chance
#Ukraine
#How It Ends
#Ukraine-Russia war
trending
Will a Quad country or the PRC publicly accuse the other of using a weapon against its forces25% chance
#Wars
#China
#United States
trending
Will a Democrat win the 2024 US presidential election?53% chance
#US Politics
#2024 US Presidential Election
#Politics
resolved
What will be the percentage change in the world's GDP in 2024 relative to the world's GDP in 2023, according to the IMF
100%99.9%
Higher by between 2.75% and 3.50%, inclusive
0.0%
Lower than 1.25%
0.0%
Higher by between 1.25% and 2.00%, inclusive
0.0%
Higher by more than 2.00% but less than 2.75%
See 2 more answers
#GDP
#Economics
#The Economist: The World Ahead 2024
trending
How many seats will the ruling BJP-led National Democratic Alliance win in the 2024 Indian General Election?
1.7%
271 or fewer
2%
Between 272 and 298
12%
Between 299 and 325
20%
Between 326 and 352
See 1 more answer
#Elections: World
#India
#2024 Elections - World
See more questions: