Nuclear Risk 2025: How many of the 7 linked questions resolve Yes?
Premium
6
Ṁ18352026
46%
0
23%
1
9%
2
8%
3
10%
4-5
5%
6-7
This is a derivative market. It will resolve exactly according to the resolution of the following questions:
/IsaacKing/will-any-nuclear-weapon-be-detonate-c8fe71e2c9cf
/EvanDaniel/will-there-be-an-offensive-nuclear
/EvanDaniel/will-any-country-that-is-not-curren-ncdy4rg06s
/EvanDaniel/will-north-korea-detonate-a-nuclear-vuou3sbyi3
/EvanDaniel/will-an-aboveground-nuclear-test-ta-6g0yu8nmo1
/EvanDaniel/will-iran-acquire-a-nuclear-weapon
This question is managed and resolved by Manifold.
Get
1,000
and3.00
Related questions
Related questions
Nuclear risk 2024: How many of the 8 linked questions will resolve Yes? [Unlinked Format]
Nuclear Risk 2024 + noise: How many of the 11 linked markets resolve Yes?
Nuclear risk 2024: How many of the 8 linked questions will resolve Yes?
Nuclear War 2025: How many of the linked markets resolve Yes?
Nuclear War 2024: How many of the linked markets will resolve Yes?
Will a nuclear disaster occur that scores a 5, 6, or 7 on the International Nuclear Event Scale by EOY 2030?
44% chance
Will there be a nuclear exchange between countries before 2025?
3% chance
Which of these twelve countries will have at least one known nuclear weapon in their possession at the end of 2025?
Will a new nation possess nuclear weapons by 2025?
13% chance
Will nuclear weapons cause at least [1, 1000, 100000] deaths in 2025?