Will any nuclear weapon be detonated in 2025?
49
1.2kṀ8565
2026
16%
chance

The detonation must include a nuclear component. The conventional explosives going off due to some accident or malfunction doesn't count.

Get
Ṁ1,000
to start trading!


Sort by:
2y

What about testing a weapon?

2y

@FranAbenza If it's a nuclear weapon and the nuclear payload explodes, then... yes.

© Manifold Markets, Inc.TermsPrivacy