Will any nuclear weapon be detonated in 2025?
49
1.2kṀ85652026
16%
chance
1H
6H
1D
1W
1M
ALL
The detonation must include a nuclear component. The conventional explosives going off due to some accident or malfunction doesn't count.
This question is managed and resolved by Manifold.
Get 
1,000 to start trading!
1,000Sort by:
@FranAbenza U.S. is planning a nuclear test in 2025 https://www.npr.org/2025/01/29/nx-s1-5276315/atomic-bomb-nuclear-weapons-lab-nevada
People are also trading
Related questions
Will a nuclear weapon be detonated in 2025?
15% chance
Will an above-ground nuclear test take place in 2025?
8% chance
Will any nuclear weapon be detonated in 2027?
18% chance
Will there be an offensive nuclear detonation in 2025?
2% chance
Will any country that is not currently known to have nuclear weapons detonate a nuclear weapon in 2025? (Tests included)
9% chance
Will a nuclear detonation happen in space by the end of 2025?
6% chance
Will any nuclear weapon be detonated in 2026?
13% chance
Will North Korea detonate a nuclear weapon in 2025?
9% chance
Which countries will detonate a nuclear weapon offensively in 2025?
Will there be a nuclear explosion in USA in 2025?
1% chance