Will any nuclear weapon be detonated in 2025?
53
1.2kṀ9122
2026
12%
chance

The detonation must include a nuclear component. The conventional explosives going off due to some accident or malfunction doesn't count.

Get
Ṁ1,000
to start trading!
Sort by:

https://polymarket.com/event/nuclear-weapon-detonation-in-2025
Going short on the corresponding polymarket market seems like a good idea tbh

What about testing a weapon?

@FranAbenza If it's a nuclear weapon and the nuclear payload explodes, then... yes.

© Manifold Markets, Inc.TermsPrivacy